Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Sportivo Trinidense, 24% draw, 19% Sportivo Luqueno — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sportivo Trinidense at 57% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno
Line-ups
- 12V. SamudioG
- 23C. BenítezD
- 40A. da SilveiraD
- 6A. CañeteD
- 4D. MelgarejoD
- 5N. GautoM
- 10N. ManáM
- 21G. VieraM
- 29T. RayerM
- 31A. MorinigoM
- 7N. CamachoF
- 24F. BarujaM
- 13Deivis Faustino Barone MoraF
- 19A. CanoM
- 1M. DufourG
- 22J. GamarraF
- 9O. GiménezF
- 37L. GonzalezM
- 16J. MarcelinoM
- 14S. MendozaM
- 1N. CampisiG
- 2M. BarretoD
- 3Á. BrizuelaD
- 6F. WiechniakD
- 23A. CanteroD
- 14F. BenitezM
- 37L. ComasM
- 30T. FrancoM
- 10G. BogadoM
- 11Ó. RuízM
- 20I. MaggiF
- 24S. BeltránM
- 18F. BobadillaM
- 9W. GonzálezF
- 8A. MaízM
- 12F. MongelosG
- 29T. MuroM
- 22S. OcamposD
- 21M. OjedaM
- 7K. PereiraF
Form going into Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
- W2-1Cerro Porteno26 September 2026
- L0-1Club Guarani18 September 2026
- W3-1away to Deportivo Recoleta12 September 2026
Sportivo Luqueno
- L0-1Club Guarani25 September 2026
- W1-0Deportivo Recoleta20 September 2026
- L0-3away to Olimpia13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 24 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno
- 5 October 2026Sportivo Trinidense 3–2 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 29 July 2026Sportivo Luqueno 1–4 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 25 April 2026Sportivo Luqueno 2–1 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 25 February 2026Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 17 October 2025Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 2 August 2025Sportivo Trinidense 2–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
Leading scorers: Sportivo Trinidense and Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
GoalsAssists
- F. Romero71
- L. Abreu31
- T. Rayer31
Sportivo Luqueno
No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.