Banfield vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Banfield, 31% draw, 37% Rosario Central — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rosario Central at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Banfield vs Rosario Central
Line-ups
- 50D. RodríguezG
- 4J. AlfaroD
- 2S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 27I. AbrahamD
- 20T. AdoryánM
- 5Santiago EsquivelM
- 18Federico MedinaM
- 10L. GómezM
- 40D. ZalazarM
- 9A. BalboaF
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 16J. AcostaF
- 19L. CanoD
- 28M. HernándezF
- 24S. LópezM
- 37R. MalancaD
- 13Brandon OviedoD
- 35I. PaisM
- 3N. PazD
- 23J. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 46Ignacio OvandoD
- 13G. ÁvilaD
- 33A. SotoD
- 31F. NavarroM
- 5F. IbarraM
- 27G. DuarteM
- 11Á. Di MaríaM
- 26G. CantizanoM
- 22E. CopettiF
- 10F. CerviM
- 18J. FernándezF
- 44Paolo GiacconeM
- 24Juan Valentín GiménezD
- 6J. KomarD
- 15F. MalloD
- 9M. RubenF
- 2S. ZarachoD
- 16T. BadaloniF
Form going into Banfield vs Rosario Central
Banfield
- D2-2away to Gimnasia La Plata19 September 2026
- D1-1Barracas Central14 September 2026
- L1-3away to Aldosivi5 September 2026
Rosario Central
- W1-0Argentinos Juniors20 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tigre13 September 2026
- D1-1Newell's Old Boys6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Banfield vs Rosario Central
- 6 October 2026Banfield 1–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 March 2026Rosario Central 2–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 October 2024Rosario Central 1–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2024Rosario Central 0–0 BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 28 August 2023Banfield 3–0 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 29 May 2023Banfield 2–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Banfield and Rosario Central
Banfield
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María104
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.