5 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Referee: Andres Merlos, Argentina
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Deportivo Riestra, 35% draw, 26% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 2.56, 2.86 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Deportivo Riestra at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Deportivo Riestra3%Draw95%Central Cordoba de Santiago2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
Felipe Aguilar
⚽Milton Celiz
3'
Nicolás Sansotre
5'
18'
🔁Santiago Moyanoout: Fernando Martinez
38'
⚽Michael Santosassist: Fernando Martinez
🔁Agustín Granerosout: Tomás González
45'
🔁Jonathan Goitiaout: Pedro Ramírez
45'
51'
Marco Iacobellis
58'
🔁Diego Barreraout: Nicolás Tomás Garrido Aparicio
58'
🔁Michael Santosout: Lucas Varaldo
66'
Alejandro Maciel
73'
🔁Darío Cáceresout: Leonardo Marchi
74'
🔁Lucas Gonzálezout: Enzo Tiziano Ramirez Suarez
🔁Antony Alonsoout: Gabriel Obredor
77'
🔁Braian Sánchezout: Ángel Almada
86'

Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

41%Possession59%
7Shots10
4On target3
3Corners3

Line-ups

Deportivo Riestra 4-4-2
  • 1I. ArceG
  • 15N. SansotreD
  • 19J. RandazzoD
  • 22C. PazD
  • 36M. BracamonteD
  • 10B. SánchezM
  • 8M. CélizM
  • 14P. MonjeM
  • 27J. GoitíaM
  • 29M. GranerosF
  • 7Antony Daniel Alonso EspinozaF
Substitutes
  • 23M. ArzamendiaG
  • 13R. GalloD
  • 6I. GariglioD
  • 21T. GonzálezF
  • 20T. LauroM
  • 40G. ObredorM
  • 2C. QuintanaD
  • 5P. RamírezD
  • 35Á. StringaF
Coach: G. Duró
Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. AguerreG
  • 33S. MoyanoD
  • 21F. AguilarD
  • 2A. MacielD
  • 23D. CáceresD
  • 22M. VeraM
  • 28L. SequeiraM
  • 10M. IacobellisM
  • 18L. GonzálezM
  • 7D. BarreraM
  • 27M. SantosF
Substitutes
  • 9L. VaraldoF
  • 17Y. CasermeiroD
  • 47M. CuitinoF
  • 32N. GarridoD
  • 3L. MarchiD
  • 20F. MartínezD
  • 19E. NayaF
  • 30F. RodriguezM
  • 25J. VallejosG
Coach: S. Domínguez

Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Deportivo Riestra

  • D0-0away to Gimnasia Mendoza19 September 2026
  • L0-3Lanus14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Platense4 September 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • D2-2Defensa Y Justicia18 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
  • L0-1Independiente6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Deportivo Riestra12255912-311
14Central Cordoba de Santiago122461016-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • 5 October 2026Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 18 March 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 September 2025Deportivo Riestra 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 March 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 August 2024Deportivo Riestra 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago record →

Leading scorers: Deportivo Riestra and Central Cordoba de Santiago

Deportivo Riestra

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Central Cordoba de Santiago

GoalsAssists

  • M. Santos92

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.