Cordoba vs Tenerife Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cordoba 3-2 Tenerife.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Cordoba, 28% draw, 34% Tenerife — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cordoba at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cordoba vs Tenerife
Line-ups
- 13Guilherme FernandesG
- 30Daniel BudescaD
- 20Nélson MonteD
- 16Rubén AlvesD
- 3Dani TasendeD
- 28Eder GarcíaM
- 8Isma RuizM
- 14Adnane GhailanM
- 23Cristian CarracedoF
- 9PercanF
- 11Diego BriF
- 26Alejandro Arévalo ArrebolaG
- 21Carlos AlbarránD
- 6D. CaceresM
- 24S. El JebariF
- 5Juan GutiérrezD
- 4Álex MartínD
- 27Egoitz MuñozD
- 18Enol RodríguezF
- 19Ibai SanzF
- 1Dani MartínG
- 19César ÁlvarezD
- 27N. ViereckD
- 12A. LandázuriD
- 2David RodríguezD
- 14Gerard ValentínM
- 15FabricioM
- 6JuanjoM
- 24Iván ChapelaM
- 18Enric GallegoF
- 17C. GomisF
- 29Daniel FernándezM
- 10Nacho GilM
- 3R. JureškinD
- 4José LeónD
- 40Gabriel LozanoG
- 11Noel LópezF
- 21Marc MateuD
- 5Jorge MorenoD
- 7M. PečarM
Form going into Cordoba vs Tenerife
Cordoba
- L1-3away to Valladolid27 September 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete18 September 2026
- L0-2Almeria12 September 2026
Tenerife
- D1-1Cadiz26 September 2026
- L0-5away to Castellón19 September 2026
- W2-0Leganes13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Tenerife
- 5 October 2026Cordoba 3–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 15 February 2025Tenerife 2–3 CordobaSegunda División
- 8 December 2024Cordoba 3–0 TenerifeSegunda División
- 9 February 2019Tenerife 0–2 CordobaSegunda División
- 22 September 2018Cordoba 1–1 TenerifeSegunda División
- 11 February 2018Tenerife 5–1 CordobaSegunda División
Leading scorers: Cordoba and Tenerife
Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- Percan31
Tenerife
GoalsAssists
- Enric Gallego60
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.