Girona vs Mallorca Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Girona 0-0 Mallorca.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Girona, 30% draw, 31% Mallorca — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Girona at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Girona vs Mallorca
Line-ups
- 13P. GazzanigaG
- 4J. BonarD
- 5D. LopezD
- 16A. FrancesD
- 11A. MorenoD
- 14I. MoranteM
- 24I. GonzalezM
- 23C. PerezM
- 6D. van de BeekM
- 36J. SarasaM
- 9A. RuizF
- 25V. KrapyvtsovG
- 3M. MoreyD
- 2A. MuminD
- 33M. FurtadoD
- 8F. BeltranM
- 35M. HamonyF
- 29L. KouroumaM
- 30U. HernandezM
- 10PortuF
- 1A. TenasG
- 15J. DonaldD
- 21A. RailloD
- 22A. SoumahoroD
- 5A. MorenoD
- 6A. SanchezM
- 17A. PuigmalM
- 20P. TorreM
- 7A. SalaM
- 16A. BuksaF
- 18A. FuentesF
- 25Pichu CuellarG
- 37A. Dols Cabot
- 3T. LatoD
- 4D. LopezD
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 10S. DarderM
- 2G. FernandezM
- 9A. PratsF
- 30J. KalumbaF
Form going into Girona vs Mallorca
Girona
- W2-0Albacete25 September 2026
- W2-1away to Cadiz19 September 2026
- L1-2Castellón12 September 2026
Mallorca
- L0-1Almeria27 September 2026
- W1-0away to Real Sociedad II19 September 2026
- W2-0Sabadell13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Girona vs Mallorca
- 4 October 2026Girona 0–0 MallorcaSegunda División
- 1 May 2026Girona 0–1 MallorcaLa Liga
- 4 January 2026Mallorca 1–2 GironaLa Liga
- 5 May 2025Girona 1–0 MallorcaLa Liga
- 14 December 2024Mallorca 2–1 GironaLa Liga
- 3 March 2024Mallorca 1–0 GironaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Girona and Mallorca
Girona
GoalsAssists
- Y. Asprilla50
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes51
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.