VVV Venlo vs Roda Eerste Divisie prediction & result
Final score: VVV Venlo 2-0 Roda.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% VVV Venlo, 32% draw, 29% Roda — fair odds of 2.56, 3.13 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Eerste Divisie predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VVV Venlo at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — VVV Venlo vs Roda
Line-ups
- 13Y. SchoonderwaldtG
- 4É. ClancyD
- 33G. BlancquartD
- 6A. VerstraetenD
- 14Raf VullersM
- 24M. OdrissM
- 38Tristan SchenkhuizenM
- 16P. HeiseM
- 7E. ZulianiM
- 11N. Ait MouhouM
- 17L. SchmidtF
- 43D. HendrixF
- 22Zidane TaylanG
- 9M. TsigkasF
- 34A. RaisF
- 8Ismail Oulad M'HandM
- 21L. GörlichD
- 15Tijn JoostenD
- 19Thomas JanssenF
- 1T. DoornbuschG
- 1J. TreichelG
- 3M. TolD
- 33D. Van den BuijsD
- 15L. BeertenD
- 14X. van den BergM
- 11D. DorenboschM
- 4J. NisbetM
- 5K. JansenM
- 7C. SeedorfM
- 25Bram MarsmanM
- 9A. van den HurkF
- 24J. DéomM
- 8J. MensahM
- 6M. PaulissenM
- 17Guilherme Martinho PeixotoD
- 10F. SchentenF
- 26J. SleegersF
- 2Luuk VerheijM
- 19N. CrabuM
- 32N. MaoujoudiM
Form going into VVV Venlo vs Roda
VVV Venlo
- L2-3away to FC Volendam26 September 2026
- W3-1away to Jong Utrecht18 September 2026
- W3-1FC OSS11 September 2026
Roda
- W2-0Waalwijk26 September 2026
- D0-0away to Jong Ajax18 September 2026
- W1-0Vitesse12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VVV Venlo vs Roda
- 4 October 2026VVV Venlo 2–0 RodaEerste Divisie
- 26 January 2026Roda 2–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
- 24 August 2025VVV Venlo 3–1 RodaEerste Divisie
- 29 March 2025Roda 1–4 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
- 25 August 2024VVV Venlo 1–1 RodaEerste Divisie
- 7 April 2024Roda 2–1 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
Leading scorers: VVV Venlo and Roda
VVV Venlo
GoalsAssists
- E. Zuliani41
Roda
No player in Eerste Divisie's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.