Eerste Divisie predictions

Friday 16 October — 4 matches

• 18:00 UTC VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ — model 54% / 24% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.17 · 4.55. Edge: VVV Venlo
• 18:00 UTC Den Bosch vs FC OSS — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 18:00 UTC Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22. One-sided: NAC Breda

Saturday 17 October — 1 match

• 14:30 UTC Emmen vs Almere City FC — model 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.70 · 2.50. Edge: Almere City FC

Sunday 18 October — 2 matches

• 10:15 UTC Waalwijk vs FC Volendam — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:45 UTC MVV vs Heracles — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22. One-sided: Heracles

Monday 19 October — 3 matches

• 18:00 UTC Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76. Edge: Jong PSV U21
• 18:00 UTC Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap — model 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.85 · 2.86. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Jong Utrecht vs Roda — model 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.23 · 3.13. Evenly matched

Friday 23 October — 9 matches

• 18:00 UTC De Graafschap vs Waalwijk — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 18:00 UTC Vitesse vs Emmen — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC NAC Breda vs Heracles — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht — model 59% / 24% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.17 · 5.88. Edge: FC Volendam
• 18:00 UTC Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Almere City FC vs Roda — model 50% / 30% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.33 · 5.00. Edge: Almere City FC
• 18:00 UTC Den Bosch vs MVV — model 51% / 27% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.70 · 4.55. Edge: Den Bosch
• 18:00 UTC FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 — model 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.70 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC FC OSS vs Jong Ajax — model 52% / 26% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 3.85 · 4.55. Edge: FC OSS

Saturday 24 October — 1 match

• 14:30 UTC Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo — model 27% / 26% / 47%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 3.85 · 2.13. One-sided: VVV Venlo

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9 October: the model called the result of 7 of 10 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Almere City FC 3–0 FC Eindhoven — the model said 57% / 24% / 19%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht — the model said 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Dordrecht 0–3 Emmen — the model said 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• FC Volendam 2–0 Vitesse — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Heracles 3–0 Waalwijk — the model said 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Jong Ajax 0–3 VVV Venlo — the model said 34% / 26% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
• Jong AZ 0–1 Den Bosch — the model said 52% / 24% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• NAC Breda 1–0 MVV — the model said 65% / 22% / 13%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• FC OSS 3–1 Helmond Sport — the model said 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21 — the model said 44% / 32% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result missed.