Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie prediction & result
Final score: Almere City FC 3-0 FC Eindhoven.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Almere City FC, 24% draw, 19% FC Eindhoven — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Eerste Divisie predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Almere City FC at 57% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Wessel SpeelG
- 2M. WasinskiD
- 3J. JacobsD
- 4J. LawrenceD
- 5T. BijleveldD
- 8M. de HaanM
- 6E. CornelisseM
- 17E. PokuM
- 10J. JacobsM
- 11M. DorsM
- 9F. DruijfF
- 30J. van der WiltG
- 26Twan·Van Der ZeeuwD
- 20J. KalisvaartM
- 18Bas HuismanF
- 14M. HoedemakersM
- 7B. BurgeringF
- 24M. MateyoG
- 23J. Ritmeester van de KampM
- 16Tiziano vianelloD
- 1J. BorgmansG
- 22C. EssersD
- 4Predrag JevtićD
- 44O. RenfrumD
- 20Raf van de RietD
- 28R. BuifrahiM
- 6G. BeaumontM
- 8X. BlommeM
- 7H. DeenenM
- 9K. van VeenF
- 19Kevin FerreiraF
- 5R. BoonD
- 23Gideon ConstanciaF
- 27E. EksiF
- 35J. ElbersD
- 30N. FancitoG
- 31N. JanssenG
- 14N. MunstersM
- 10Lasse AbildgaardF
- 17L. NettenD
Form going into Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven
Almere City FC
- W1-0FC Volendam3 October 2026
- L2-3away to Dordrecht25 September 2026
- W1-0Heracles18 September 2026
- W4-0away to MVV11 September 2026
FC Eindhoven
- D2-2De Graafschap3 October 2026
- L2-4away to NAC Breda26 September 2026
- W3-1Emmen18 September 2026
- W2-1Dordrecht11 September 2026
What these results say
- Almere City FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Almere City FC won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Almere City FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Eindhoven scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Eindhoven conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for FC Eindhoven had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almere City FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 22 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven
- 21 February 2026FC Eindhoven 3–2 Almere City FCEerste Divisie
- 15 September 2025Almere City FC 5–0 FC EindhovenEerste Divisie
- 26 May 2023Almere City FC 3–1 FC EindhovenEredivisie
- 22 May 2023FC Eindhoven 1–0 Almere City FCEredivisie
- 10 February 2023FC Eindhoven 0–1 Almere City FCEerste Divisie
- 12 September 2022Almere City FC 1–1 FC EindhovenEerste Divisie
Leading scorers: Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven
Almere City FC
GoalsAssists
- F. Druijf63
- E. Poku43
FC Eindhoven
No player in Eerste Divisie's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.