FC OSS vs MVV Eerste Divisie prediction & result
Final score: FC OSS 4-1 MVV.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC OSS, 31% draw, 26% MVV — fair odds of 2.33, 3.23 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Eerste Divisie predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC OSS at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC OSS vs MVV
Line-ups
- 1M. HavekotteG
- 2I. PataD
- 3L. MiguelD
- 23D. VianelloD
- 26Julian KuijpersD
- 11J. MathieuM
- 10R. van der VenneM
- 8M. EsajasM
- 18K. LubranoF
- 19F. NsingiF
- 17M. HinokeF
- 6M. HoremansM
- 30S. JansenG
- 21Thomas CoxD
- 4Q. JansenD
- 24Jay KuiperD
- 28L. MolM
- 25J. PansaF
- 16D. RemieG
- 9Andy VisserF
- 1H. WentgesG
- 21D. AsanteD
- 6F. DickeD
- 22Sven BoulandD
- 17S. WegenD
- 18E. SierraM
- 16R. KlaasenM
- 24N. El HamdaouiM
- 10O. DumontM
- 7L. DaneelsM
- 9T. VinogradacF
- 11T. VerheijenF
- 12S. van der HeijdenG
- 27Naïm MatougF
- 25Yael LiesdekD
- 14M. KuipersF
- 29O. ZimuanganaF
- 13S. TimmersG
- 19Mika LuijendijkM
- 31Yanis BourardM
Form going into FC OSS vs MVV
FC OSS
- L0-1away to Emmen26 September 2026
- W3-0Dordrecht18 September 2026
- L1-3away to VVV Venlo11 September 2026
MVV
- W2-0Helmond Sport26 September 2026
- L1-6away to Waalwijk18 September 2026
- L0-4Almere City FC11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC OSS | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC OSS vs MVV
- 3 October 2026FC OSS 4–1 MVVEerste Divisie
- 24 April 2026MVV 0–2 FC OSSEerste Divisie
- 8 August 2025FC OSS 4–0 MVVEerste Divisie
- 10 January 2025FC OSS 1–0 MVVEerste Divisie
- 27 September 2024MVV 2–2 FC OSSEerste Divisie
Leading scorers: FC OSS and MVV
FC OSS
GoalsAssists
- M. Hinoke50
- F. Nsingi42
MVV
GoalsAssists
- O. Dumont51
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.