Almere City FC vs FC Volendam Eerste Divisie prediction & result
Final score: Almere City FC 1-0 FC Volendam.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Almere City FC, 30% draw, 31% FC Volendam — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Eerste Divisie predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Almere City FC at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Almere City FC vs FC Volendam
Line-ups
- 1Wessel SpeelG
- 2M. WasinskiD
- 3J. JacobsD
- 4J. LawrenceD
- 5T. BijleveldD
- 8M. de HaanM
- 6E. CornelisseM
- 17E. PokuM
- 10J. JacobsM
- 11M. DorsM
- 9F. DruijfF
- 7B. BurgeringF
- 18Bas HuismanF
- 20J. KalisvaartM
- 24M. MateyoG
- 23J. Ritmeester van de KampM
- 16Tiziano vianelloD
- 19Olivier de NijsM
- 44D. van BruggenD
- 30J. van der WiltG
- 1H. JurjusG
- 18N. BukalaD
- 25Luca BlondeauD
- 3M. AmevorD
- 15M. KleijnD
- 6A. PlatM
- 8D. HuismanM
- 7N. DoodemanM
- 10R. NiemeijerM
- 21Y. el MaftahiM
- 9H. VeermanF
- 63J. HaakmatD
- 67F. IhlerF
- 5Dean BisschopsD
- 12D. PayneD
- 11Kayden WolffF
- 16R. SteurG
- 29Jesper TielemansF
- 2P. UgwuD
- 22D. VlakG
Form going into Almere City FC vs FC Volendam
Almere City FC
- L2-3away to Dordrecht25 September 2026
- W1-0Heracles18 September 2026
- W4-0away to MVV11 September 2026
FC Volendam
- W3-2VVV Venlo26 September 2026
- L1-4away to Jong AZ18 September 2026
- W2-0Den Bosch13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almere City FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Almere City FC vs FC Volendam
- 3 October 2026Almere City FC 1–0 FC VolendamEerste Divisie
- 15 July 2026Almere City FC 2–1 FC VolendamFriendlies Clubs
- 31 March 2024Almere City FC 1–1 FC VolendamEredivisie
- 14 January 2024FC Volendam 0–1 Almere City FCEredivisie
- 17 December 2021Almere City FC 2–3 FC VolendamEerste Divisie
- 1 October 2021FC Volendam 3–2 Almere City FCEerste Divisie
Leading scorers: Almere City FC and FC Volendam
Almere City FC
GoalsAssists
- F. Druijf63
- E. Poku43
FC Volendam
GoalsAssists
- H. Veerman102
- R. Niemeijer42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.