Fixtures & Predictions
Segunda División predictions
22 matches ahead, from 16 October to 26 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Girona, 56% against Celta de Vigo II. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.
1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC
Friday 16 October — 1 match
- 18:30 UTC Leganes vs Cordoba — model 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.57 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
Saturday 17 October — 4 matches
- 12:00 UTC Real Sociedad II vs Almeria — model 31% / 25% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 4.00 · 2.27. Edge: Almeria
- 14:15 UTC Eibar vs Mallorca — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
- 16:30 UTC Sporting Gijon vs Albacete — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: Sporting Gijon
- 19:00 UTC Las Palmas vs Castellón — model 32% / 28% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.57 · 2.50. Edge: Castellón
Sunday 18 October — 5 matches
- 12:00 UTC AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13. One-sided: Oviedo
- 14:15 UTC Granada CF vs Cadiz — model 49% / 26% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.85 · 4.00. Evenly matched
- 16:30 UTC Girona vs FC Andorra — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76. Edge: Girona
- 16:30 UTC Valladolid vs Eldense — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23. Evenly matched
- 19:00 UTC Burgos vs Sabadell — model 37% / 34% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 2.94 · 3.45. Evenly matched
Monday 19 October — 1 match
Friday 23 October — 1 match
- 18:30 UTC Granada CF vs Valladolid — model 44% / 27% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.70 · 3.45. Evenly matched
Saturday 24 October — 5 matches
- 12:00 UTC Cordoba vs Eibar — model 29% / 25% / 46%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 4.00 · 2.17. Edge: Eibar
- 14:15 UTC Leganes vs Mallorca — model 21% / 28% / 51%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.76 · 3.57 · 1.96. One-sided: Mallorca
- 16:30 UTC Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II — model 48% / 25% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 4.00 · 3.70. Evenly matched
- 16:30 UTC Girona vs Celta de Vigo II — model 56% / 24% / 20%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.17 · 5.00. Edge: Girona
- 19:00 UTC Almeria vs Oviedo — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57. Evenly matched
Sunday 25 October — 4 matches
- 13:00 UTC Sabadell vs Tenerife — model 49% / 29% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.45 · 4.55. Edge: Sabadell
- 15:15 UTC Albacete vs Eldense — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56. Edge: Eldense
- 15:15 UTC Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85. Evenly matched
- 17:30 UTC Castellón vs Sporting Gijon — model 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.57 · 4.35. Edge: Castellón
Monday 26 October — 1 match
- 19:30 UTC FC Andorra vs Burgos — model 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.33 · 3.03. Evenly matched
Last round: the model's hits and misses
10–12 October: the model called the result of 8 of 11 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.
- AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell — the model said 29% / 30% / 41%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
- Eldense 2–1 Cordoba — the model said 48% / 25% / 27%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
- Celta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II — the model said 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
- FC Andorra 1–0 Castellón — the model said 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
- Almeria 3–0 Leganes — the model said 60% / 24% / 16%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
- Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
- Cadiz 0–1 Sporting Gijon — the model said 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
- Valladolid 5–0 Albacete — the model said 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
- Burgos 0–1 Granada CF — the model said 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
- Oviedo 3–1 Eibar — the model said 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
- Tenerife 1–1 Girona — the model said 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Segunda División table · Accuracy by competition · Head-to-head records · All competitions