Eldense vs Cordoba Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Eldense 2-1 Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Eldense, 25% draw, 27% Cordoba — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eldense at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eldense vs Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13JuanpaG
- 19A. IbarrondoD
- 5Alex SerradellD
- 4F. SmandD
- 3Juan LariosD
- 10FidelM
- 14J. SmithM
- 15Carlos GuiraoM
- 33Aingeru OlabarrietaM
- 7Jorge RastrojoF
- 11Manu NietoF
- 36D. BernabeuG
- 17Jesús ClementeD
- 6Borja CalvoM
- 23Jordi MartínD
- 24Javi MartínezM
- 34J. OlaizolaD
- 29Dinis RodriguesF
- 2Iker RecioD
- 22J. YandaD
- 1Iker ÁlvarezG
- 30Daniel BudescaD
- 20Nélson MonteD
- 16Rubén AlvesD
- 3Dani TasendeD
- 28Eder GarcíaM
- 8Isma RuizM
- 14Adnane GhailanM
- 23Cristian CarracedoF
- 9PercanF
- 11Diego BriF
- 24S. El JebariF
- 5Juan GutiérrezD
- 4Álex MartínD
- 7T. ZidaneM
- 10Kevin VillodresF
- 15V. SanchezF
- 13Guilherme FernandesG
- 19Ibai SanzF
- 18Enol RodríguezF
Form going into Eldense vs Cordoba
Eldense
- W4-1Oviedo2 October 2026
- L0-1away to Burgos27 September 2026
- L1-2Eibar19 September 2026
- W1-0away to Sporting Gijon13 September 2026
Cordoba
- W3-2Tenerife5 October 2026
- L1-3away to Valladolid27 September 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete18 September 2026
- L0-2Almeria12 September 2026
What these results say
- Eldense scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eldense conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cordoba conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cordoba scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Cordoba had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eldense vs Cordoba
- 10 October 2026Eldense 2–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 26 April 2025Eldense 1–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 26 October 2024Cordoba 2–0 EldenseSegunda División
Leading scorers: Eldense and Cordoba
Eldense
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- Percan31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.