Llaneros vs America de Cali Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Llaneros 1-2 America de Cali.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Llaneros, 32% draw, 38% America de Cali — fair odds of 3.33, 3.13 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts America de Cali at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Llaneros vs America de Cali
Line-ups
- 22R. Romana GaravitoG
- 20B. ChuryD
- 23A. MoralezD
- 21F. MezaD
- 94J. MedrandaD
- 7L. MirandaM
- 13J. CastillaM
- 8J. RamirezM
- 10N. OspinaF
- 17Y. MenaF
- 32F. CastanedaF
- 12J. LoaizaG
- 33Kelvin OsorioM
- 6M. SierraM
- 95Jhon VasquezF
- 70J. ContrerasF
- 9C. CortesF
- 19D. MantillaM
- 34A. GarayF
- 3V. Vidal
- 1JeanG
- 13M. CastilloD
- 24C. TovarD
- 3D. RoseroD
- 30O. BertelD
- 18Y. QuinteroM
- 5J. EscobarM
- 23L. QuinonesM
- 10Y. GuzmanM
- 7J. MurilloM
- 21T. AngelF
- 12J. MontoyaG
- 2M. TorresD
- 14M. MinaD
- 32D. Mina
- 6J. CavadiaM
- 29C. AmuM
- 9D. ValenciaF
- 88J. PalaciosF
- 36J. A. Camacho Anchico
Form going into Llaneros vs America de Cali
Llaneros
- L1-2away to Cucuta26 September 2026
- W2-0Atletico Nacional21 September 2026
- L2-3away to Internacional de Bogota12 September 2026
America de Cali
- W1-0Águilas Doradas24 September 2026
- D1-1away to Deportes Tolima20 September 2026
- L0-1Deportivo Pasto15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Llaneros vs America de Cali
- 5 October 2026Llaneros 1–2 America de CaliPrimera A
- 26 March 2026America de Cali 0–0 LlanerosPrimera A
- 11 July 2025Llaneros 0–0 America de CaliPrimera A
- 25 January 2025America de Cali 4–3 LlanerosPrimera A
- 7 August 2016Llaneros 1–1 America de CaliPrimera B
- 22 March 2016America de Cali 2–2 LlanerosPrimera B
Leading scorers: Llaneros and America de Cali
Llaneros
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
America de Cali
GoalsAssists
- Y. Guzmán186
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.