Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Cerro Porteno 0-2 2 de Mayo.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Cerro Porteno, 29% draw, 26% 2 de Mayo — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cerro Porteno at 45% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
Line-ups
- 1M. RoffoG
- 16I. RamírezD
- 23G. VelázquezD
- 14L. QuintanaD
- 13G. BenítezD
- 31I. AlisedaM
- 5J. MorelM
- 34C. ChenaM
- 11J. IturbeM
- 27J. TorresF
- 19P. VegettiF
- 21S. AraújoF
- 20E. AlmendraM
- 32C. BobadillaM
- 2F. DomínguezM
- 18A. GamarraM
- 30G. GiménezM
- 40M. KlimowiczM
- 12A. MartínezG
- 6L. MerollaD
- 1D. LerdaG
- 23A. EspínolaD
- 3A. VillalbaD
- 21P. SosaD
- 6C. RamírezD
- 19C. CastroD
- 10A. GómezM
- 37L. DelgadilloM
- 24Ó. RomeroM
- 27M. MoyaM
- 25A. CerveraF
- 11U. CoronelD
- 7F. CáceresF
- 17P. DelvalleF
- 20E. DíazM
- 40Marcelo GonzálezF
- 16M. GómezM
- 12Alfredo MachadoM
- 32Mario RamírezG
- 5C. SaizD
Form going into Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
- L1-2away to Sportivo Trinidense26 September 2026
- W1-0Rubio NU19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Club Guarani12 September 2026
2 de Mayo
- D2-2away to Rubio NU26 September 2026
- L0-3away to Nacional Asuncion18 September 2026
- L0-2Libertad Asuncion11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
- 5 October 2026Cerro Porteno 0–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 28 July 20262 de Mayo 2–1 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 4 April 2026Cerro Porteno 3–0 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 7 February 20262 de Mayo 0–0 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 11 October 20252 de Mayo 0–0 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 30 July 2025Cerro Porteno 3–2 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura
Leading scorers: Cerro Porteno and 2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
GoalsAssists
- P. Vegetti70
- D. Rodríguez43
- I. Ramírez32
2 de Mayo
GoalsAssists
- D. Acosta51
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.