Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 Libertad Asuncion.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Deportivo Recoleta, 27% draw, 42% Libertad Asuncion — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Libertad Asuncion at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
Line-ups
- 13O. ToledoG
- 2F. A. Echeguren ZarzaD
- 4M. PereiraD
- 32L. MonzónD
- 18P. RiosD
- 36B. FerreiraM
- 7R. DomínguezM
- 38J. FrancoM
- 17W. BáezM
- 25Renzo José Martino CampuzanoF
- 33A. GonzálezF
- 10A. SilvaM
- 31M. ShuppM
- 24T. VidalF
- 34Mathías Nicolás Masi PuschkarevichM
- 3L. CardozoD
- 30P. CharpentierF
- 6J. EspínolaD
- 12N. FerreiraG
- 14C. FigueredoD
- 12R. MorínigoG
- 5G. FloresD
- 3R. RojasD
- 23N. FreireD
- 4N. GiménezD
- 8F. CarrizoM
- 28M. FernándezM
- 21L. SanabriaM
- 19I. FrancoM
- 9G. AguilarF
- 11E. VeraF
- 30O. AcuñaF
- 13J. BogarínM
- 35E. DiazD
- 20H. FernándezM
- 31T. FernándezD
- 33C. MartínezM
- 32L. NequecaurF
- 26I. RamirezF
- 29V. RojasG
Form going into Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
- D0-0away to Club Sp. San Lorenzo28 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sportivo Luqueno20 September 2026
- L1-3Sportivo Trinidense12 September 2026
Libertad Asuncion
- L0-1Olimpia28 September 2026
- D1-1Sportivo Ameliano19 September 2026
- W2-0away to 2 de Mayo11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 8 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
- 5 October 2026Deportivo Recoleta 1–2 Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 30 July 2026Libertad Asuncion 4–1 Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 30 March 2026Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 2 February 2026Deportivo Recoleta 2–1 Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 26 October 2025Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 10 August 2025Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura
Leading scorers: Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
GoalsAssists
- A. Wlk131
Libertad Asuncion
GoalsAssists
- E. Vera152
- I. Ramirez33
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.