Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 Rubio NU.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Sportivo Ameliano, 26% draw, 24% Rubio NU — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sportivo Ameliano at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU
Line-ups
- 35Angel SanchezG
- 13Ronald PeraltaD
- 5Hugo BenitezD
- 22Andrea FalabellaD
- 19Abel ParedesD
- 8Estivel MoreiraM
- 15Walter RodríguezM
- 24Luis AyalaM
- 20Valentín LarraldeM
- 14Edgar Raul Paez ToralesM
- 9Cristhian OcamposF
- 18Luis OrtizM
- 10Raúl CabralM
- 32Marcelo CamargoM
- 7Fredy VeraM
- 17Richard ToralesF
- 1Junior Ramón BalbuenaG
- 34Miguel BenítezD
- 4Pablo ArandaD
- 26Julio GonzalezD
- 25Franco FraguedaG
- 2Rodi FerreiraD
- 3Javier VallejosD
- 5Pedro AlvarezD
- 13Victor CabañasD
- 23Tobías LeivaM
- 15Cristian NúñezM
- 26Sergio FretesM
- 29Octavio AlfonsoM
- 35Lucas MontielM
- 9Rodrigo Ruiz DíazF
- 40Estiven PérezF
- 36Carlos GimenezD
- 8Rodrigo RojasM
- 14Mariano RamosD
- 32Lautaro MaldonadoG
- 16Jorge GonzálezD
- 7Elías AlfonsoM
- 27Alan LedesmaM
- 18Marcelo AcostaM
Form going into Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
- D1-1away to Nacional Asuncion25 September 2026
- D1-1away to Libertad Asuncion19 September 2026
- W1-0Club Sp. San Lorenzo11 September 2026
Rubio NU
- D2-22 de Mayo26 September 2026
- L0-1away to Cerro Porteno19 September 2026
- L0-1Nacional Asuncion13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU
- 6 October 2026Sportivo Ameliano 1–2 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 28 July 2026Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 23 March 2026Rubio NU 1–2 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 25 January 2026Sportivo Ameliano 2–2 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 17 October 2021Rubio NU 0–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Intermedia
- 5 July 2021Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 Rubio NUDivision Intermedia
Leading scorers: Sportivo Ameliano and Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
GoalsAssists
- R. Torales51
- E. Moreira50
- C. Ocampos42
Rubio NU
GoalsAssists
- R. Ruiz Díaz32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.