Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Cucuta 4-0 Deportivo Pereira.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Cucuta, 30% draw, 27% Deportivo Pereira — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cucuta at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira
Line-ups
- 12F. Abadia
- 26Y. AboniaD
- 2H. LopesD
- 4J. QuinonesD
- 27E. M. Duarte BarajasD
- 10L. BerdugoM
- 5V. MejiaM
- 77NenecoM
- 20D. PerezF
- 9J. PeraltaF
- 11G. TorresF
- 1J. RamirezG
- 3D. CalcaterraD
- 33S. TamaraM
- 29L. RiosM
- 8J. CeballosM
- 15S. VasquezM
- 21M. B. Carabali LopezF
- 7J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
- 32J. AgudeloF
- 1Y. A. Gomez PalacioG
- 16E. A. Moreno GomezD
- 15S. AguilarD
- 17R. RenteriaD
- 23T. BovoneD
- 20J. MonroyM
- 5J. A. Bermudez CorreaM
- 37L. Moreno
- 19M. AguirreM
- 10S. AcostaF
- 11J. LargachaF
- 12J. Betancourth
- 25F. DelgadoD
- 14E. MorenoM
- 8F. Mosquera
- 24M. PalaciosM
- 26J. MontoyaM
- 7A. PlataF
- 18M. PerezF
- 29M. DiazF
Form going into Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
- W2-1Llaneros26 September 2026
- L0-3away to Deportivo Cali19 September 2026
- L1-2Millonarios14 September 2026
Deportivo Pereira
- L1-2Santa Fe29 September 2026
- D0-0Internacional de Bogota26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cucuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 18 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira
- 4 October 2026Cucuta 4–0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 24 March 2026Deportivo Pereira 2–2 CucutaPrimera A
- 2 February 2020Deportivo Pereira 2–0 CucutaPrimera A
- 21 August 2018Deportivo Pereira 0–1 CucutaPrimera B
- 21 March 2018Cucuta 2–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera B
- 30 July 2017Cucuta 0–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera B
Leading scorers: Cucuta and Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
GoalsAssists
- J. Peralta92
Deportivo Pereira
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.