Bucaramanga vs Junior Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Bucaramanga 3-1 Junior.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bucaramanga, 29% draw, 27% Junior — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bucaramanga at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucaramanga vs Junior
Line-ups
- 12D. NovoaG
- 6N. CastrillonD
- 24J. OrtizD
- 23C. RomanaD
- 4J. GarciaD
- 8F. HinestrozaD
- 21F. CharrupiM
- 22FabryM
- 17E. BatallaM
- 10F. SambuezaF
- 27L. PonsF
- 16L. Matheus
- 19A. GutierrezD
- 3M. ReaD
- 80O. AlbornozD
- 30V. CantilloM
- 28L. FloresM
- 9B. CaicedoF
- 11J. SalazarF
- 5A. MurriloF
- 30J. MartinezG
- 98J. PenaD
- 5D. RiveraD
- 23P. OrtizD
- 26Y. SuarezD
- 28G. CelisM
- 80F. S. Angel BernalM
- 25D. CaicedoM
- 29T. GutierrezM
- 22J. RivasM
- 10L. MurielF
- 12J. L. Acosta AlmeidaG
- 16C. Perez
- 34D. SocarrasD
- 7H. RiveraM
- 14J. RiosM
- 19F. FydriszewskiF
- 18K. PerezF
- 9G. PaivaF
- 88B. CastrillonF
Form going into Bucaramanga vs Junior
Bucaramanga
- W3-1away to Once Caldas26 September 2026
- W2-0Internacional de Bogota20 September 2026
- D2-2Independiente Medellin18 September 2026
Junior
- L1-3away to Atletico Nacional1 October 2026
- W2-0Independiente Medellin27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 16 | Junior | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bucaramanga vs Junior
- 4 October 2026Bucaramanga 3–1 JuniorPrimera A
- 24 March 2026Junior 2–0 BucaramangaPrimera A
- 18 August 2025Junior 2–1 BucaramangaPrimera A
- 1 March 2025Bucaramanga 1–1 JuniorPrimera A
- 18 July 2024Bucaramanga 1–0 JuniorPrimera A
- 26 May 2024Junior 1–0 BucaramangaPrimera A
Leading scorers: Bucaramanga and Junior
Bucaramanga
GoalsAssists
- L. Pons115
- E. Batalla115
Junior
GoalsAssists
- L. Muriel162
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.