Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes La Plata 3-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Estudiantes La Plata, 32% draw, 28% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Estudiantes La Plata at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Line-ups
- 16F. MusleraG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NúñezD
- 14L. GonzálezD
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
- 31B. GallegoM
- 17J. BurgosM
- 34M. MonsalveM
- 18E. CetréM
- 19A. GaichF
- 28B. AguirreF
- 53Leandro Luciano Alcaraz TorresM
- 27L. AlarioF
- 15S. ArzamendiaD
- 12R. BorzoneG
- 9G. CarrilloF
- 26R. Funes MoriD
- 52B. KociubinskiM
- 36J. PereyraD
- 23C. RigamontiG
- 32L. ParedesD
- 2D. MondinoD
- 4E. MuñozD
- 3M. RecaldeD
- 21F. AntoniniM
- 28T. O'ConnorM
- 8M. VargasM
- 30E. FernándezM
- 26F. LencioniM
- 9A. MódicaF
- 27B. ArmoaF
- 33B. AndradaF
- 5N. BarbozaM
- 42L. CarreraM
- 19J. CeballosM
- 22J. FrancoD
- 16G. GuiffreyD
- 31L. PetruchiG
- 11S. RodríguezF
Form going into Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Estudiantes La Plata
- L1-2away to Lanus22 September 2026
- W2-1Platense12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield6 September 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
- D0-0Deportivo Riestra19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Defensa Y Justicia11 September 2026
- D2-2Boca Juniors5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Estudiantes La Plata | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 18 March 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Estudiantes La Plata and Gimnasia Mendoza
Estudiantes La Plata
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia Mendoza
GoalsAssists
- A. Módica130
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.