Kudrivka
vs
Bukovyna
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Kudrivka 0–1 Bukovyna
The model makes it 32% Kudrivka, 28% draw, 40% Bukovyna — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Kudrivka 1.20, Bukovyna 1.43.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Bukovyna: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Kudrivka are bottom on 2 points from 8 games; Bukovyna are 10th on 8 points from 8 games — Premier League.
- Kudrivka have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to LNZ Cherkasy.
- Bukovyna are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Polessya.
- Last 2 meetings: level at 1 win each, 0 draws; the most recent, 3 May 2025, ended Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna.
More Ukrainian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bukovyna at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Kudrivka vs Bukovyna
Kudrivka
- L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026
- L1-2away to Veres Rivne3 October 2026
- L2-3Kolos Kovalivka20 September 2026
- L1-5away to Polessya4 September 2026
- L0-3Epitsentr Dunayivtsi29 August 2026
Bukovyna
- D2-2Polessya11 October 2026
- L0-2away to FC Kharkiv19 September 2026
- D1-1Zorya Luhansk13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi6 September 2026
- W3-0Dynamo Kyiv31 August 2026
What these results say
- Kudrivka did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Kudrivka conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Kudrivka had three goals or more.
- Bukovyna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kudrivka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Kudrivka
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 86% today
Bukovyna
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 8% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna
- 3 May 2025Kudrivka 2–0 BukovynaPersha Liga
- 6 April 2025Bukovyna 1–0 KudrivkaPersha Liga
The two sides
Kudrivka carry a model rating of 6.12 against 6.37 for Bukovyna. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for Kudrivka and 1.43 for Bukovyna. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kudrivka rate 0.52 in attack and 2.24 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bukovyna rate 0.53 and 1.42.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bukovyna the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Kudrivka against 1.43 for Bukovyna. Kudrivka's attack/defence rating is 0.52/2.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.42 for Bukovyna.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Kudrivka at home · Bukovyna away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Kudrivka 8, Bukovyna 8.
Kudrivka score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Bukovyna have let in 0 there.
Bukovyna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); Kudrivka have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Kudrivka
- at Dynamo Kyiv24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 8%
- at Karpaty31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 10%
- vs Chornomorets7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 37%
- at Kryvbas KR21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 17%
- vs FC Kharkiv28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 17%
Bukovyna
- vs Kryvbas KR24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 43%
- at Livyi Bereh31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- vs Kolos Kovalivka7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 41%
- at Veres Rivne21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 32%
- at Shakhtar Donetsk28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 9%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.