Exeter City sit 14th in the League Two on 12 points from 10 matches, having scored 6 and conceded 6 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.52 in attack and 1.88 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League Two averages of 0.50 and 2.09: about average in attack, above it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently beating Shrewsbury 1-0 away. That is 1.20 points a match, scoring 0.60 and conceding 0.60 per game across 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind Salford City at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 4 clean sheets. Next they travel to Colchester in the League Two on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | DWWWW | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | +9 | DDWWW | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | DDDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | WWLDW | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | DWLWD | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | +6 | DDWDD | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | WWLWD | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | WDWLL | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | LLWLL | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | DWWWD | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | WWLLL | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | DDWDW | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | LDDLD | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | LDLWW | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington Stanley | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | LDDWD | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | DLLLD | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | LLDLL | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | WDDWL | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | LDDDL | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | DWDLL | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | LLLLD | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | LLWLW | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | DWLLD | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | DLLLD | 5 |
- Promotion to League One
- League Two play-offs
- Relegation
Exeter City sit 14 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Shrewsbury10 October 2026
- W1-0Rotherham3 October 2026
- L0-1away to Bristol Rovers26 September 2026
- D0-0Tranmere19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Port Vale12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Exeter City vs Colchester
Exeter City travel to Colchester at Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 35% Exeter City, 29% draw and 36% Colchester, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.25 expected goals for Exeter City against 1.28. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Full preview and model analysis for Exeter City vs Colchester
Recent meetings with Colchester
- 15 April 2022Exeter City 2–0 ColchesterLeague Two
- 23 November 2021Colchester 3–1 Exeter CityLeague Two
- 23 February 2021Colchester 1–2 Exeter CityLeague Two
- 24 November 2020Exeter City 6–1 ColchesterLeague Two
- 22 June 2020Exeter City 3–1 ColchesterLeague Two
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.