Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Borac Banja Luka 2-0 BSK Banja Luka.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Borac Banja Luka, 15% draw, 9% BSK Banja Luka — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Borac Banja Luka at 76% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
- W3-2away to Siroki Brijeg20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sloga Doboj16 September 2026
- W1-0Zrinjski12 September 2026
- L0-1away to FK Sarajevo6 September 2026
BSK Banja Luka
- D4-4Radnik Bijeljina19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Siroki Brijeg12 September 2026
- W3-2Čelik5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Zrinjski1 September 2026
What these results say
- Borac Banja Luka won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Borac Banja Luka scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Borac Banja Luka conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- BSK Banja Luka scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- BSK Banja Luka conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for BSK Banja Luka.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 22 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka
- 10 October 2026Borac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja LukaPremijer Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.