MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: MSV Duisburg 3-2 Hoffenheim II.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% MSV Duisburg, 24% draw, 20% Hoffenheim II — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MSV Duisburg at 56% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
Line-ups
- 1M. BrauneG
- 4Martin EnsD
- 5T. FlecksteinD
- 40B. SchlickeD
- 29J. BitterM
- 6R. BulićM
- 10C. VietM
- 27C. CoşkunM
- 14C. NoßF
- 9L. LobingerF
- 11D. KotherF
- 3F. ChristensenD
- 20N. JessenD
- 8A. CasarM
- 17M. BesuschkowM
- 26F. KrügerF
- 39P. RemmertF
- 19Ramien SafiF
- 33T. StahlG
- 37P. SussekM
- 1L. PeterssonG
- 2Natnael AbrahaD
- 3Sean DulicD
- 6V. LässigD
- 13Tristan SprangerD
- 16L. EngelnsM
- 8Diren DağdevirenM
- 17B. MakandaM
- 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
- 10Y. B. Zor MuhammedM
- 11J. FieldsF
- 36J. DedicF
- 23Alex HonajzerM
- 15Matthew mooreM
- 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
- 40Pistrol SantinoD
- 47Maximilian TheuerM
- 27T. TrautnerG
- 18L. WagenbachF
- 26K. ČížekM
Form going into MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
MSV Duisburg
- W4-1away to SV Wehen20 September 2026
- W2-1Havelse15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Fortuna Düsseldorf12 September 2026
Hoffenheim II
- W1-0SV Meppen19 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC Ingolstadt 0416 September 2026
- D2-2Fortuna Köln13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
- 18 April 2026MSV Duisburg 3–1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
- 21 November 2025Hoffenheim II 4–1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Leading scorers: MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II
MSV Duisburg
GoalsAssists
- P. Remmert30
Hoffenheim II
GoalsAssists
- B. Makanda10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.