10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken 3. Liga prediction & result

Cologne
Referee: Felix Grund
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Fortuna Köln 0-0 FC Saarbrücken.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Fortuna Köln, 28% draw, 31% FC Saarbrücken — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Fortuna Köln at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fortuna Köln4%Draw93%FC Saarbrücken3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
Niko Bretschneider
45'
🔁Alexander Staffout: Kaan Caliskaner
🔁Bennit Brögerout: Jannik Mause
61'
61'
🔁Seung-joon Leeout: Kelsey Owusu
🔁Nico Thierout: Cedric Harenbrock
61'
61'
🔁Kai Brünkerout: Christian Kühlwetter
77'
🔁Sebastian Vasiliadisout: Zac Shuaib
🔁Romeo Aigbekaenout: Timo Bornemann
80'
🔁Florian Heisterout: David Savic
80'
82'
🔁Philip Fahrnerout: Calogero Rizzuto
David Savic
89'
90+2'
Christian Kühlwetter

Match stats — Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

49%Possession51%
10Shots11
5On target6
6Corners3

Line-ups

Fortuna Köln 4-4-2
  • 1L. WinklerG
  • 17F. HeisterD
  • 5Seymour FungerD
  • 15David Haider Kamm Al-AzzaweD
  • 3M. FischerD
  • 6T. GeerkensM
  • 11G. StrauchM
  • 38Bennit BrögerM
  • 20A. StanilewiczM
  • 7N. ThierF
  • 30Romeo AigbekaenF
Substitutes
  • 25B. ZichG
  • 31Neo TelleD
  • 23D. SavicM
  • 16J. MichelbrinkM
  • 37J. MauseF
  • 2Kevin KrummeD
  • 14C. HarenbrockM
  • 19T. BornemannF
  • 18H. Al GhaddiouiF
Coach: M. Mink
FC Saarbrücken 4-4-2
  • 1M. BignettiG
  • 42P. FahrnerD
  • 21M. CvjetinovićD
  • 4S. VoetD
  • 28N. BretschneiderD
  • 16Lee Seung-JoonM
  • 5Daniel GleiberM
  • 19S. VasiliadisM
  • 20F. PickM
  • 9K. BrünkerF
  • 29A. StaffF
Substitutes
  • 33K. BrollG
  • 14Z. ShuaibM
  • 3Anton BäuerleD
  • 8Gökdeniz GürpüzF
  • 15A. KamaraM
  • 10C. KühlwetterF
  • 31K. MeiselF
  • 7C. RizzutoD
  • 22K. CaliskanerM
Coach: Argirios Giannikis

Form going into Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

Fortuna Köln

  • W3-1away to Havelse25 September 2026
  • L0-2SV Wehen16 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Hoffenheim II13 September 2026

FC Saarbrücken

  • W2-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach19 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Preußen Münster16 September 2026
  • L0-1FC Ingolstadt 0412 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Fortuna Köln9243810-210
5FC Saarbrücken94232116+514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

  • 7 January 2023FC Saarbrücken 2–1 Fortuna KölnFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.