SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Meppen 1-1 Stuttgart II.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% SV Meppen, 26% draw, 32% Stuttgart II — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SV Meppen at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
Line-ups
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan rankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 40N. NadjM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 31L. PrasseM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 9C. AkonoF
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 39F. BährD
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 5J. FedlD
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 13R. MeierF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 1Jerik von der FelsenG
- 17A. JanjicD
- 6A. GroißD
- 31V. StangeD
- 13Tim KöhlerD
- 7L. PennaM
- 10N. SessaM
- 24Joyeux Masanka BungiM
- 27Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento MalangaF
- 9T. van der LeijF
- 11Oliver RölkeF
- 22J. BockG
- 18J. LuersM
- 30J. MajchrzakF
- 29D. NothnagelD
- 37David PreuD
- 39E. RedzepiF
- 40P. ReinhardtD
- 23Collin SchrammD
- 42Brayann KenmoeF
Form going into SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
SV Meppen
- L0-1away to Hoffenheim II19 September 2026
- L1-3FC Viktoria Köln15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Verl12 September 2026
Stuttgart II
- D3-3SSV Jahn Regensburg19 September 2026
- L2-3away to Hansa Rostock16 September 2026
- L1-2Preußen Münster13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
- 10 October 2026SV Meppen 1–1 Stuttgart II3. Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.