SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-5 Waldhof Mannheim.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 31% draw, 30% Waldhof Mannheim — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim
Line-ups
- 1M. ReuleG
- 8Jan Elias RahnD
- 15A. AidonisD
- 25A. NurajD
- 20Leon MaierD
- 21L. MolinariD
- 16M. KundeM
- 11T. RossmannM
- 5Volkan CeliktasM
- 18N. PollexF
- 23F. EiseleF
- 4F. BleicherM
- 36M. GashiD
- 22B. LandwehrD
- 27Loris MaierM
- 6C. MistlM
- 33T. SchulzG
- 10L. StoppelM
- 19M. UhlD
- 13N. ZografakisF
- 1T. NijhuisG
- 24L. KlünterD
- 3Moritz PolteD
- 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro OgbemudiaD
- 17Owono Darnell KeumoD
- 8M. ThalhammerM
- 21J. RieckmannM
- 28D. MichelM
- 7L. BierschenkM
- 11Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa PessoaM
- 9Gonçalo GregórioF
- 15C. KammerknechtD
- 23L. MickelsM
- 29N. X. Muteba NTumbaF
- 13T. BoydF
- 16J. NiemannG
- 25Jid OkekeD
- 37N. Sarenren BazeeF
- 4T. SechelmannD
- 10J. UlbrichtF
Form going into SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- L1-2away to FC Saarbrücken19 September 2026
- D1-1Verl15 September 2026
- D2-2away to Havelse12 September 2026
Waldhof Mannheim
- W2-0Preußen Münster20 September 2026
- L1-2Rot-Weiß Essen16 September 2026
- W1-0away to SV Wehen13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim
- 20 June 2020Waldhof Mannheim 3–2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
- 9 November 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–3 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Leading scorers: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Waldhof Mannheim
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
GoalsAssists
- F. Eisele11
- L. Molinari10
Waldhof Mannheim
GoalsAssists
- N. X. Muteba NTumba20
- J. Ulbricht10
- L. Bierschenk10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.