SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SSV Jahn Regensburg 5-0 Havelse.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% SSV Jahn Regensburg, 23% draw, 22% Havelse — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SSV Jahn Regensburg at 55% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
Line-ups
- 1H. HermannG
- 37Leopold WurmD
- 5L. MühlD
- 31L. MätzlerD
- 25N. OliveiraM
- 29A. FeinM
- 35S. HingerlM
- 7O. SchönfelderM
- 8D. PhilippM
- 10N. BoujellabF
- 27L. HermesF
- 21Z. JánóM
- 13E. MajetschakM
- 20J. PosseltF
- 23M. SchmittG
- 40J. SeiboldM
- 22S. StolzeD
- 11M. WörnerF
- 34P. HobschF
- 26B. BauerD
- 13O. HaninG
- 22L. SommerD
- 15D. DuahD
- 4S. BelkahiaD
- 24Y. MausehundD
- 3M. LambyD
- 33J. TugbenyoM
- 8J. BergerM
- 10K. SchumacherM
- 23R. MüllerF
- 20Alexander GuiddirF
- 30T. FriedrichD
- 27I. NdukaD
- 11K. Okyere WriedtF
- 1T. OpitzG
- 9L. PaldinoF
- 7M. RichterM
- 28R. VelascoF
- 19E. VoufackD
- 14Y. WardakM
Form going into SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
- D3-3away to Stuttgart II19 September 2026
- L1-2Fortuna Düsseldorf15 September 2026
- D2-2away to Alemannia Aachen12 September 2026
Havelse
- L1-3Fortuna Köln25 September 2026
- L1-2away to MSV Duisburg15 September 2026
- D2-2SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 9 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
- 21 March 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg 5–2 Havelse3. Liga
- 19 October 2025Havelse 1–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga
Leading scorers: SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
GoalsAssists
- N. Boujellab31
- L. Hermes12
- O. Schönfelder10
Havelse
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.