Vizela vs Sporting CP B Segunda Liga prediction & result
Final score: Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Vizela, 29% draw, 28% Sporting CP B — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vizela at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vizela vs Sporting CP B
Line-ups
- 1Antonio GomisG
- 77JójóD
- 13Luís RochaD
- 4J. RhynerD
- 20B. GodwinD
- 8A. BastunovM
- 6Giovani BambaM
- 17Miguel TavaresF
- 24H. MörschelM
- 36M. LacavaF
- 99A. CarterF
- 23Y. FortunéF
- 9Manu GarridoF
- 95A. TraoréM
- 31NetoM
- 11N. ThioF
- 55A. HristovD
- 37José SampaioD
- 19A. VulićG
- 26L. MinaD
- 99Francisco SilvaG
- 76Rodrigo RodriguesM
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
- 95Lucas TaiboD
- 50Rodrigo DiasD
- 40M. TanlongoM
- 96Samuel JustoM
- 47M. SanhaF
- 78Mauro CoutoF
- 87Paulo CardosoM
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 82Gabriel SilvaF
- 85Rafael MotaD
- 18M. ZekriD
- 59Kauã OliveiraM
- 62I. da Silva MendesM
- 70Salvador BlopaD
- 83Z. BafdiliM
- 88BiduF
- 74Guilherme PiresG
Form going into Vizela vs Sporting CP B
Vizela
- D2-2away to FC Porto B14 September 2026
- W1-0Felgueiras 19326 September 2026
- W3-0away to Torreense29 August 2026
- D0-0Amarante22 August 2026
Sporting CP B
- L1-2Lusitânia Lourosa14 September 2026
- W3-1away to Feirense5 September 2026
- W2-1Farense30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Penafiel23 August 2026
What these results say
- Vizela went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Vizela scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vizela kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sporting CP B conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sporting CP B scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sporting CP B had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vizela vs Sporting CP B
- 26 April 2026Vizela 1–0 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
- 14 December 2025Sporting CP B 0–1 VizelaSegunda Liga
- 9 February 2017Vizela 2–1 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
- 29 August 2016Sporting CP B 1–2 VizelaSegunda Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.