Leixoes vs FC Porto B Segunda Liga prediction & result
Final score: Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Leixoes, 24% draw, 27% FC Porto B — fair odds of 2.04, 4.17 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Portugal 2 predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Leixoes at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Leixoes vs FC Porto B
Line-ups
- 51I. StefanovićG
- 77PaulinhoD
- 63H. FariaD
- 4Matheus CostaD
- 15SimãozinhoD
- 6A. BaldeF
- 8Miguel SousaM
- 7Salvador AgraF
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues AraújoM
- 33Luccas FeitosaF
- 9BicaF
- 44S. CommeyD
- 30Serif NhagaD
- 14Alysson SilvaD
- 3Lourenço HenriquesD
- 2Fernando FonsecaD
- 26Caio SeccoG
- 79RokaF
- 35B. RochezF
- 71KaiqueF
- 91Gonçalo RibeiroG
- 76DinisD
- 64Luís GomesD
- 93Tiago FerreiraD
- 55Y. PereiraD
- 92João Pedro Moreira TeixeiraM
- 66Bernardo LimaM
- 97Gabriel VeronF
- 89Mateus MideF
- 56KauêM
- 53E. FerreiraF
- 95Anhá CandéF
- 57Duarte CunhaF
- 84Martim CunhaD
- 85Francisco FerreiraD
- 63salvador gomesD
- 70Eirik GranaasM
- 43T. MelnichenkoF
- 54António RibeiroD
- 41G. SilvaG
Form going into Leixoes vs FC Porto B
Leixoes
- D0-0away to Torreense11 September 2026
- W3-1Amarante6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Portimonense29 August 2026
- L2-4União de Leiria22 August 2026
FC Porto B
- D2-2Vizela14 September 2026
- L0-3away to Tondela5 September 2026
- L0-3Penafiel30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Feirense24 August 2026
What these results say
- Leixoes scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Porto B failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Porto B conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FC Porto B had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Leixoes vs FC Porto B
- 20 April 2026FC Porto B 0–3 LeixoesSegunda Liga
- 6 December 2025Leixoes 2–4 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
- 16 March 2025FC Porto B 0–1 LeixoesSegunda Liga
- 27 October 2024Leixoes 3–0 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
- 24 February 2024FC Porto B 0–2 LeixoesSegunda Liga
- 1 October 2023Leixoes 1–3 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.