Bravo
vs
Radomlje
1. SNL prediction
Our model says: Bravo 2–1 Radomlje
The model makes it 58% Bravo, 23% draw, 19% Radomlje — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: Bravo 2.15, Radomlje 1.02.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Bravo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Bravo are 3rd on 18 points from 11 games; Radomlje are bottom on 6 points from 10 games — 1. SNL.
- Bravo have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Nafta.
- Radomlje have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-3 draw at home to Koper.
- Last 6 meetings: Bravo 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Radomlje 1–2 Bravo.
More Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Bravo vs Radomlje
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bravo at 58% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Bravo vs Radomlje
Bravo
- L0-1away to Nafta11 October 2026
- W2-1Olimpija Ljubljana20 September 2026
- W2-1Celje12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Aluminij5 September 2026
- W2-0Mura29 August 2026
Radomlje
- D3-3Koper10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Brinje-Grosuplje20 September 2026
- L0-3Maribor13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Nafta4 September 2026
- D0-0Olimpija Ljubljana29 August 2026
What these results say
- Radomlje did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Radomlje conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radomlje had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bravo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Bravo
Chance to finish in the top four · 54% today
Radomlje
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 89% today
From our 1. SNL season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Bravo vs Radomlje
- 2 August 2026Radomlje 1–2 Bravo1. SNL
- 9 May 2026Bravo 2–1 Radomlje1. SNL
- 9 March 2026Radomlje 1–3 Bravo1. SNL
- 24 November 2025Bravo 0–4 Radomlje1. SNL
- 30 August 2025Radomlje 0–6 Bravo1. SNL
- 10 May 2025Bravo 4–0 Radomlje1. SNL
The two sides
Bravo carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.23 for Radomlje. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.15 goals for Bravo and 1.02 for Radomlje. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Bravo rate 0.61 in attack and 1.39 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radomlje rate 0.61 and 2.17.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bravo a 5.1% chance of the title and Radomlje 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bravo the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.15 expected goals for Bravo against 1.02 for Radomlje. Bravo's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/2.17 for Radomlje.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Bravo at home · Radomlje away
League matches only, 1. SNL, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. SNL matches this season: Bravo 11, Radomlje 10.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Bravo
- at Brinje-Grosuplje29 Oct · 1. SNLwin 37%
- vs Koper2 Nov · 1. SNLwin 38%
- vs Maribor7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 36%
- at Mura21 Nov · 1. SNLwin 42%
- vs Aluminij28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 48%
Radomlje
- vs Mura27 Oct · 1. SNLwin 49%
- at Aluminij31 Oct · 1. SNLwin 24%
- vs Celje7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 25%
- at Olimpija Ljubljana21 Nov · 1. SNLwin 17%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.