CODM Meknès
vs
UTS Rabat
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: CODM Meknès 0–1 UTS Rabat
The model makes it 32% CODM Meknès, 30% draw, 38% UTS Rabat — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: CODM Meknès 1.08, UTS Rabat 1.21.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- CODM Meknès are 7th on 4 points from 3 games; UTS Rabat are 3rd on 7 points from 3 games — Botola Pro.
- CODM Meknès have won 1 of their last 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Wydad AC.
- UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last 3 games (2 won), most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Renaissance Berkane.
- Last 4 meetings: UTS Rabat 1 win to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 17 June 2026, ended UTS Rabat 2–0 CODM Meknès.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts UTS Rabat at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
CODM Meknès
- D0-0away to Wydad AC11 October 2026
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech3 October 2026
- W6-2away to Difaa EL Jadida26 September 2026
UTS Rabat
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane8 October 2026
- W1-0away to Widad Témara2 October 2026
- W2-1FUS Rabat26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CODM Meknès | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | UTS Rabat | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
- 17 June 2026UTS Rabat 2–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 31 January 2026CODM Meknès 1–1 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 14 February 2025CODM Meknès 0–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 19 October 2024UTS Rabat 0–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
CODM Meknès carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.37 for UTS Rabat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.08 goals for CODM Meknès and 1.21 for UTS Rabat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CODM Meknès rate 0.56 in attack and 1.80 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; UTS Rabat rate 0.60 and 1.56.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives UTS Rabat the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.08 expected goals for CODM Meknès against 1.21 for UTS Rabat. CODM Meknès's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.8 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.56 for UTS Rabat.
Season stats
CODM Meknès at home · UTS Rabat away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CODM MeknèsUTS Rabat
CODM Meknès are 5th after 3 Botola Pro matches (between 1st and 5th so far); UTS Rabat are 1st after 3 (between 1st and 2nd). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: CODM Meknès 3, UTS Rabat 3.
CODM Meknès score most often in the 16–30 minute window (2 goals); UTS Rabat have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.