Wydad AC
vs
Amal Tiznit
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Wydad AC 1–0 Amal Tiznit
The model makes it 46% Wydad AC, 27% draw, 27% Amal Tiznit — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Wydad AC 1.61, Amal Tiznit 1.10.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Wydad AC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Wydad AC are 9th on 4 points from 3 games; Amal Tiznit are 14th on 3 points from 3 games — Botola Pro.
- Wydad AC have won 1 of their last 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to CODM Meknès.
- Amal Tiznit have won 1 of their last 3 games, most recently a 2-5 defeat at home to Difaa EL Jadida.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wydad AC at 46% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit
Wydad AC
- D0-0CODM Meknès11 October 2026
- W2-0away to Difaa EL Jadida3 October 2026
- L1-3Widad Témara26 September 2026
Amal Tiznit
- L2-5Difaa EL Jadida10 October 2026
- W1-0away to FUS Rabat2 October 2026
- L1-3Ittihad Tanger24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wydad AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Amal Tiznit | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Wydad AC carry a model rating of 6.26 against 6.13 for Amal Tiznit. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.61 goals for Wydad AC and 1.10 for Amal Tiznit. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Wydad AC rate 0.55 in attack and 1.78 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Amal Tiznit rate 0.55 and 2.36.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wydad AC the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Wydad AC against 1.10 for Amal Tiznit. Wydad AC's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.78 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/2.36 for Amal Tiznit.
Season stats
Wydad AC at home · Amal Tiznit away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Wydad ACAmal Tiznit
Wydad AC are 8th after 3 Botola Pro matches (between 8th and 15th so far); Amal Tiznit are 13th after 3 (between 7th and 16th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: Wydad AC 3, Amal Tiznit 3.
Amal Tiznit score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Wydad AC have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.