Widad Témara
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Widad Témara 1–0 Kawkab Marrakech
The model makes it 34% Widad Témara, 32% draw, 34% Kawkab Marrakech — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Widad Témara 1.03, Kawkab Marrakech 1.01.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%, under 2.5: 67%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Widad Témara are 10th on 3 points from 3 games; Kawkab Marrakech are 5th on 6 points from 3 games — Botola Pro.
- Widad Témara have won 1 of their last 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to FAR Rabat.
- Kawkab Marrakech have won 2 of their last 3 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Ittihad Tanger.
- Last 4 meetings: Kawkab Marrakech 1 win to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 18 June 2021, ended Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 Widad Témara.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Widad Témara at 34% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
Widad Témara
- L0-1away to FAR Rabat8 October 2026
- L0-1UTS Rabat2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Wydad AC26 September 2026
Kawkab Marrakech
- W2-1Ittihad Tanger10 October 2026
- W1-0away to CODM Meknès3 October 2026
- L2-3Hassania Agadir27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Widad Témara | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kawkab Marrakech | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
- 18 June 2021Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 28 February 2021Widad Témara 0–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
- 8 February 2020Widad Témara 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
- 29 September 2019Kawkab Marrakech 1–1 Widad TémaraBotola 2
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Widad Témara carry a model rating of 6.31 against 6.36 for Kawkab Marrakech. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.03 goals for Widad Témara and 1.01 for Kawkab Marrakech. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Widad Témara rate 0.56 in attack and 1.64 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kawkab Marrakech rate 0.55 and 1.48.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Kawkab Marrakech, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Widad Témara the highest probability at 34%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.03 expected goals for Widad Témara against 1.01 for Kawkab Marrakech. Widad Témara's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.48 for Kawkab Marrakech.
Season stats
Widad Témara at home · Kawkab Marrakech away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Widad TémaraKawkab Marrakech
Widad Témara are 9th after 3 Botola Pro matches (between 3rd and 9th so far); Kawkab Marrakech are 4th after 3 (between 4th and 11th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: Widad Témara 3, Kawkab Marrakech 3.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.