Farense vs Feirense Segunda Liga prediction & result
Final score: Farense 2-1 Feirense.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Farense, 27% draw, 16% Feirense — fair odds of 1.75, 3.70 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Portugal 2 predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Farense at 57% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Farense vs Feirense
Line-ups
- 97F. BuntićG
- 78Alex PintoD
- 44N. ZolotićD
- 37Gonçalo SilvaD
- 22Toni HerreroD
- 27Mattheus OliveiraM
- 29Cláudio FalcãoM
- 10S. SinghM
- 17André CandeiasF
- 11Nélson OliveiraF
- 7João ResendeF
- 8Miguel MeninoM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 19L. OliveiraF
- 15J. Diazongua NfiniguiM
- 18Bruno SantosF
- 3Lucas D'AgrellaD
- 43Dário MirandaD
- 5Rodrigo BorgesD
- 6Derick PoloniD
- 26Diego AltubeG
- 14Pedro PintoD
- 4Antonio LealD
- 40João QueirósD
- 2Luiz GustavoD
- 77Gui MeiraM
- 24M. DiabyM
- 16André LopesD
- 20João OliveiraD
- 25Henrique PereiraF
- 90LuisinhoM
- 8Gui SantosM
- 15Diego MorenoD
- 1Francisco MeixedoG
- 3KaiquyD
- 19Alexandre GuedesF
- 23Pedro HenriqueF
- 27Tiago CastroM
- 6Diogo MendesM
- 9J. MonteiroF
Form going into Farense vs Feirense
Farense
- W4-0Chaves4 October 2026
- D0-0away to AVS13 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sporting CP B30 August 2026
- D1-1Felgueiras 193224 August 2026
Feirense
- L0-1away to Chaves13 September 2026
- L1-3Sporting CP B5 September 2026
- L0-2away to AVS30 August 2026
- L0-1FC Porto B24 August 2026
What these results say
- Farense failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Farense scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Feirense did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Feirense conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Feirense failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Farense vs Feirense
- 11 October 2026Farense 2–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 4 April 2026Farense 0–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 7 November 2025Feirense 0–0 FarenseSegunda Liga
- 29 April 2023Feirense 1–2 FarenseSegunda Liga
- 12 November 2022Farense 0–0 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 8 February 2022Feirense 4–1 FarenseSegunda Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.