11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK Süper Lig prediction & result

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Referee: Gurcan Hasova, Türkiye
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Gaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gaziantep FK, 25% draw, 38% Çorum FK — fair odds of 2.70, 4.00 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Çorum FK at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gaziantep FK0%Draw1%Çorum FK99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
⚽C. Underassist: M. Diomande
43'
Mohammed Diomande
🔁O. Ozcicekout: U. Meleke
58'
58'
🔁B. Ozdemirout: Y. Ramadani
🔁H. Dervisogluout: D. Camara
59'
60'
⚽A. Kyziridisassist: G. Sazdagi
🔁V. Gidadoout: S. Dursun
73'
73'
🔁G. Sazdagiout: M. Karlsbakk
81'
Alexandros Kyziridis
83'
⚽M. Karlsbakkassist: A. Kyziridis
🔁L. Perezout: S. Destici
84'
🔁A. Maximout: S. Hansen
84'
84'
🔁A. Borzaout: A. Sengul
84'
🔁A. Kyziridisout: E. Mahmic
84'
🔁C. Underout: Y. Moukoko
85'
Youssoufa Moukoko
Sontje Hansen
90+8'
Myenty Abena
90+6'
•Sontje Hansen
90+6'

Match stats — Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

55%Possession45%
13Shots13
2On target7
9Corners5
1.42xG2.36

Goals against chances

Gaziantep FK0 from 1.42 xGless than the chances were worth
Çorum FK3 from 2.36 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gaziantep FK 4-1-4-1
  • 25Kacper TobiaszG
  • 2Luis PérezD
  • 14Myenty AbenaD
  • 21Abakar SyllaD
  • 23Kerim ÇalhanoğluD
  • 61Ogün ÖzçiçekM
  • 18Deian SorescuM
  • 8Gidado Victor Ntino-EmoM
  • 44Alexandru MaximM
  • 10Kacper KozłowskiM
  • 28Halil DervişoğluF
Substitutes
  • 6Ulrich MelekeM
  • 3Drissa CamaraM
  • 19Serdar DursunF
  • 77Sabahattin DesticiD
  • 22Sontje HansenF
  • 35Ataberk DadakdenizG
  • 5Efe SarıkayaD
  • 83Mervan MüjdeciM
  • 11Mirza CihanM
Çorum FK 3-4-3
  • 1Marcos FelipeG
  • 5Alexandre PenetraD
  • 2Çağlar SöyüncüD
  • 6Hrvoje SmolčićD
  • 11Gökhan SazdağıM
  • 3Berat ÖzdemirM
  • 10Mohammed DiomandeM
  • 24Andrei BorzaM
  • 7Cengiz ÜnderF
  • 19Jesús RamírezF
  • 89Alexandros KyziridisF
Substitutes
  • 20Ylber RamadaniM
  • 8Markus KarlsbakkM
  • 15Arda ŞengülD
  • 26Ermin MahmićM
  • 14Youssoufa MoukokoF
  • 18Erhan ErentürkG
  • 16FredyM
  • 21Göktan GürpüzM
  • 30Ahmed IldızM

Form going into Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

Gaziantep FK

  • L0-2away to Kocaelispor19 September 2026
  • D0-0Fenerbahçe14 September 2026
  • W4-2away to Göztepe7 September 2026
  • L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026

Çorum FK

  • L1-2Alanyaspor19 September 2026
  • W5-1away to Samsunspor12 September 2026
  • W3-0Eyüpspor6 September 2026
  • L2-6away to Beşiktaş31 August 2026

What these results say

  • Gaziantep FK failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Gaziantep FK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Çorum FK scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Çorum FK had three goals or more.
  • Çorum FK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Gaziantep FK7223710-38
8Çorum FK73131612+410

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

  • 11 October 2026Gaziantep FK 0–3 Çorum FKSüper Lig

Leading scorers: Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK

Gaziantep FK

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Çorum FK

GoalsAssists

  • A. Kyziridis43
  • C. Ramírez41
  • C. Ünder31

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.