Konyaspor vs Başakşehir Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 0-0 Başakşehir.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Konyaspor, 27% draw, 43% Başakşehir — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Başakşehir at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 4Adil DemirbağD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 10Enis BardhiM
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 2Ahmet OğuzD
- 41Da MataD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 27Ousseynou BaD
- 38Saba KharebashviliD
- 8Olivier KemenM
- 20Umut GüneşM
- 70Andreas Skov OlsenM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 77Ivan BrnićM
- 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerM
- 7Yusuf SarıF
- 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
- 18Jakub KałuzińskiM
- 98Deniz DilmenG
- 6Onur BulutD
- 4Onur ErgünM
- 19Berkay ÖzcanM
Form going into Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
Konyaspor
- D0-0away to Kasımpaşa18 September 2026
- W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
Başakşehir
- W4-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.19 September 2026
- L0-5away to Amed13 September 2026
- L2-3Galatasaray4 September 2026
- D1-1Kasımpaşa30 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.
- Başakşehir failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Başakşehir scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Başakşehir conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
- 11 October 2026Konyaspor 0–0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 27 February 2026Başakşehir 2–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 28 September 2025Konyaspor 2–1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 5 April 2025Başakşehir 1–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 3 November 2024Konyaspor 3–2 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 28 January 2024Konyaspor 2–3 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Başakşehir
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov60
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.