4 October 2026, 17:45 UTC

Huracan vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Buenos Aires
Referee: Nazareno Arasa
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Huracan 1-0 Aldosivi.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Huracan, 31% draw, 23% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.17, 3.23 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Huracan at 46% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Huracan99%Draw1%Aldosivi0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
Joaquín Pombo Streinberger
Máximo Agustín Palazzo
33'
⚽Leandro Lescanoassist: Juan Francisco Bisanz
36'
45'
🔁Andres Vombergarout: Andrés Chávez
52'
Lucas Castro
53'
🔁Santiago Moyaout: Rodrigo González
53'
🔁Felipe Ansoout: Agustín Palavecino
🔁Facundo Kalinger di Napoliout: Thaiel Peralta
64'
64'
🔁Lucas Castroout: Nicolás Cordero
64'
🔁Nicolás Linaresout: Francisco Perruzzi
74'
Joaquín Pombo Streinberger
🔁Oscar Cortesout: Ignacio Pussetto
75'
🔁Leonardo Gilout: Lautaro Iván Mora
75'
🔁Leandro Lescanoout: Hugo Nervo
77'
🔁Facundo Wallerout: Óscar Romero
77'
Óscar Romero
79'
87'
Francisco Perruzzi
87'
Leonardo Sigali

Match stats — Huracan vs Aldosivi

51%Possession49%
18Shots12
7On target4
6Corners5

Line-ups

Huracan 4-2-3-1
  • 32S. MezaG
  • 2L. BlondelD
  • 6F. PereyraD
  • 35Máximo PalazzoD
  • 19L. LescanoD
  • 5R. FernándezM
  • 15F. WallerM
  • 7Ó. CortésM
  • 8L. GilM
  • 24F. KalingerM
  • 17F. BisanzF
Substitutes
  • 46F. MartinezD
  • 12Nazareno DuránG
  • 41L. MoraF
  • 21M. NervoD
  • 20E. OjedaM
  • 11T. PeraltaM
  • 23I. PussettoF
  • 10Ó. RomeroM
  • 51M. SotoD
Coach: Diego Martinez
Aldosivi 4-4-1-1
  • 42Lucas AcostaG
  • 28S. MoyaD
  • 2L. SigaliD
  • 32J. PomboD
  • 13B. CufréD
  • 24F. AnsoM
  • 5N. LinaresM
  • 19L. CastroM
  • 8M. GarcíaM
  • 10N. GaitánM
  • 29A. VombergarF
Substitutes
  • 16B. DadínF
  • 23I. ChiccoG
  • 18A. ChávezF
  • 9N. CorderoF
  • 21M. GodoyF
  • 4R. GonzálezD
  • 7N. GuzmánF
  • 17F. LaurelliD
  • 11B. PalavecinoF
Coach: J. Sanguinetti

Form going into Huracan vs Aldosivi

Huracan

  • W2-1away to River Plate19 September 2026
  • W2-1Racing Club14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Belgrano Cordoba4 September 2026

Aldosivi

  • W1-0Atletico Tucuman21 September 2026
  • L3-4away to Independiente Rivadavia12 September 2026
  • W3-1Banfield5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Huracan125431110+119
14Aldosivi122281320-78

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Huracan vs Aldosivi

  • 4 October 2026Huracan 1–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 March 2026Aldosivi 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 October 2025Aldosivi 2–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 April 2025Huracan 3–3 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 August 2022Aldosivi 0–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 26 April 2022Aldosivi 0–2 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Huracan vs Aldosivi record →

Leading scorers: Huracan and Aldosivi

Huracan

GoalsAssists

  • J. Caicedo130

Aldosivi

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.