FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Iberia 1999, 30% draw, 33% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Iberia 1999 at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 31G. Makaridze
- 40G. Kobuladze
- 3P. Cancar
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 33J. Tiboue
- 27G. Kutsia
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Cafe
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 9A. Dzagania
- 1T. Megrelishvili
- 7D. Kvartskhava
- 12G. Kukalia
- 17S. Ende
- 23E. Kuliyev
- 26G. Beridze
- 28T. Khechikashvili
- 29L. Chikhradze
- 30N. Bochorishvili
- 20L. Flores
- 17P. Psaltis
- 27N. Kurdic
- 4N. Ugrekhelidze
- 13M. Pourzitidis
- 23J. Kankava
- 6Leo Santos
- 22N. Ninua
- 24B. Osei
- 10G. Kharaishvili
- 14M. Do Couto
- 3A. Kalandadze
- 8Welton
- 11M. Vatsadze
- 26G. Gogua
- 28R. Aleksidze
- 29R. Danelia
- 33L. Houri
- 34M. Gbomadu
- 42S. Tartarashvili
Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Iberia 1999
- W2-0away to Rustavi21 September 2026
- W2-1Dila17 September 2026
- W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
- W3-2away to Samgurali19 September 2026
- W4-0Gagra14 September 2026
- D0-0Meshakhte10 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 31 | +9 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 31 | +14 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi
- 4 October 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–2 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 27 June 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiSuper Cup
- 16 May 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
- 15 March 2026FC Iberia 1999 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 26 November 2025FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 19 September 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: FC Iberia 1999 and Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Iberia 1999
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 40 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.