Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999 Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Meshakhte 1-2 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Meshakhte, 29% draw, 49% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 4.55, 3.45 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Iberia 1999 at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999
Line-ups
- 29L. ShovnadzeG
- 23B. ShubitidzeM
- 31Eric PimentelD
- 38I. ZotkoD
- 13G. BurduliD
- 26B. GabiskiriaD
- 20L. KurdadzeD
- 7E. JijavadzeM
- 11M. KvirkviaF
- 18T. PatsatsiaM
- 22T. ŠikaloM
- 1L. TkeshelashviliG
- 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
- 24S. Chkhetiani
- 16G. GegiaD
- 10G. GogolashviliF
- 8G. JamarauliM
- 27G. KantariaM
- 25R. NovruzovD
- 30M. PyrogovM
- 31G. MakaridzeG
- 25A. AmisulashviliD
- 3P. CancarD
- 4V. SelimovićD
- 5J. JinjolavaD
- 6N. DadianiM
- 19N. SikharulashviliM
- 8B. KardavaM
- 17S. EndeF
- 9A. DzaganiaF
- 18Lucas BruneM
- 30N. BochorishviliD
- 29L. ChikhradzeF
- 40G. KobuladzeD
- 23E. KulievM
- 27G. KutsiaM
- 7D. KvartskhavaF
- 1T. MegrelishviliG
- 33marc jean tiboueD
- 26G. BeridzeF
Form going into Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999
Meshakhte
- D1-1away to Gagra19 September 2026
- L0-1Rustavi14 September 2026
- D0-0away to Dinamo Tbilisi10 September 2026
- D2-2Spaeri5 September 2026
FC Iberia 1999
- L1-2Dinamo Tbilisi4 October 2026
- W2-0away to Rustavi21 September 2026
- W2-1Dila17 September 2026
- W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
What these results say
- Meshakhte did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Meshakhte conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Meshakhte had two goals or fewer.
- FC Iberia 1999 scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Iberia 1999 won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Meshakhte | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 31 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999
- 10 October 2026Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
- 23 June 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–1 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
- 2 May 2026Meshakhte 1–4 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
- 11 April 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–2 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
- 23 September 2025Meshakhte 0–3 FC Iberia 1999David Kipiani Cup
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.