FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Seoul 2-1 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Seoul, 28% draw, 25% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC
Line-ups
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Yazan Al ArabD
- 37Juan AntonioD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 26Baek Jong-BeomG
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 41Hwang Do-YoonM
- 14Hyeon-Woo JeongF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 4Lee Sang-MinD
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 99G. SamuelF
- 42J. SonM
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 2Tobias FigueiredoD
- 3J. CélestineD
- 13Chung WoonD
- 40Kim Ryun-SeongM
- 5Italo MoreiraM
- 20Jang Min-GyuM
- 33Park Su-BinM
- 18Kim Sin-JinF
- 94Emerson NeguebaF
- 24Choi Byung-WookM
- 81Heo Ja-UngG
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 6Gi-min KwonD
- 10Lee Kun-HeeF
- 8Lee Chang-MinM
- 47Min-jae ParkF
- 7Chang-Jun ParkF
- 22E. ÇinariF
Form going into FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC
FC Seoul
- L1-2away to Pohang Steelers20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Jeonbuk Motors12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Ulsan Hyundai FC8 September 2026
- W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
Jeju United FC
- W1-0away to Gangwon FC20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Bucheon FC 199512 September 2026
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC9 September 2026
- D0-0Ulsan Hyundai FC5 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Seoul scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Seoul conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeju United FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Jeju United FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeju United FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 58 | 26 | +32 | 65 |
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 31 | +5 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC
- 10 October 2026FC Seoul 2–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 9 May 2026Jeju United FC 2–1 FC SeoulK League 1
- 15 March 2026Jeju United FC 1–2 FC SeoulK League 1
- 23 July 2025Jeju United FC 3–2 FC SeoulK League 1
- 31 May 2025FC Seoul 1–3 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 15 February 2025Jeju United FC 2–0 FC SeoulK League 1
Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Jeju United FC
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala60
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Lee Kun-Hee41
- Matheus Aiás32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.