Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Daejeon Citizen, 27% draw, 34% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Daejeon Citizen at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
Line-ups
- 25Lee Jun-SeoG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 4Jo Seong-KwonD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 11Um Won-SangM
- 14Kim Jun-BumM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
- 7M. IshidaF
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 29Geon-ho MoonF
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 5Park Ji-SooD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 77Kim Tae-HyunD
- 16João GamboaM
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 9Tiago OrobóF
- 3Yeon Je-UnD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 1Lee Ju-HyunG
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 95ItaloF
- 30DodozinhoM
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 99Bruno MotaF
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
Daejeon Citizen
- D1-1away to Incheon United20 September 2026
- D2-2Pohang Steelers12 September 2026
- W3-2FC Anyang9 September 2026
- W5-0away to Bucheon FC 19955 September 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
- D2-2Gwangju FC20 September 2026
- L1-2FC Seoul12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gangwon FC9 September 2026
- W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
What these results say
- Daejeon Citizen went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 38 | +10 | 43 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
- 21 July 2026Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 21 March 2026Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 8 November 2025Jeonbuk Motors 3–1 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 13 September 2025Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 14 May 2025Daejeon Citizen 2–3 Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup
- 6 May 2025Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó60
- Lee Seung-Woo43
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.