Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 FC Anyang.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 27% draw, 30% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
Line-ups
- 41Park Man-HoG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 15Lim Dug-KeunD
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 44Park Min-SeoD
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokM
- 55Park Tae-JunM
- 56Lee Kang-HyunM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 49M. KangF
- 51Ahn Joon-SooG
- 46Chung Ma-HoM
- 57Jeong Jae-MinF
- 50Kang Ju-HyeokF
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 2Min Kyeong-hyeonD
- 66Oh Jae-HyeokM
- 33Park Jin-SeongD
- 58Park Yong-HuiF
- 23Kim Jeong-HoonG
- 17Kang Ji-HoonD
- 5Kim Young-ChanD
- 33D. BakkerD
- 22Kim Dong-JinD
- 7Matheus OliveiraM
- 8Kim Jung-HyunM
- 18B. KneževićM
- 71Chae Hyun-WooF
- 9Breno HerculanoF
- 10I. JukićF
- 27Choi Geon-JooF
- 13Han Ka-ramM
- 24Kim Bo-KyungM
- 25Jae-hyeon KimD
- 3J. h. KimD
- 42Kim Sung-DongG
- 19Woon KimF
- 26Lee Jin-YongM
- 47Gang KimF
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- W2-0away to Bucheon FC 199519 September 2026
- D2-2Gangwon FC13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
FC Anyang
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
- L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026
What these results say
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Anyang conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Anyang failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Anyang scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 31 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
- 10 October 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–1 FC AnyangK League 1
- 13 May 2026FC Anyang 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 12 April 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 FC AnyangK League 1
- 18 October 2025FC Anyang 4–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 22 June 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 FC AnyangK League 1
- 8 March 2025FC Anyang 1–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.