Rustavi vs Dila Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Rustavi 3-1 Dila.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Rustavi, 31% draw, 33% Dila — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rustavi at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rustavi vs Dila
Line-ups
- 21P. BeruashviliG
- 2S. AndghuladzeD
- 4DavidD
- 3V. PatsatsiaD
- 19N. ChikovaniD
- 22Y. NakanoM
- 13A. GujabidzeM
- 40D. UbilavaD
- 9JeanF
- 7K. S. AbdulM
- 10P. OseiF
- 12T. TarkashviliD
- 5Kevin William CeijasF
- 23M. GambošM
- 18N. JaparidzeF
- 8K. KakashviliM
- 27M. KapanadzeD
- 11S. KessiF
- 20L. ParkadzeM
- 35J. RolandG
- 12L. SanikidzeG
- 2T. KikabidzeD
- 13João AraújoD
- 25L. YarbroughD
- 16M. SanyangF
- 17B. AnoffM
- 8L. MenteshashviliM
- 14G. JalaghoniaD
- 10O. ParulavaM
- 22Shota ShekiladzeF
- 9K. KefingF
- 5Nelson Mike PuketiD
- 21Z. MuselianiF
- 15G. KobakhidzeM
- 1D. KereselidzeG
- 19B. GogoberishviliM
- 33R. EtouD
- 7Aviel Zargari
- 37L. EdhartF
Form going into Rustavi vs Dila
Rustavi
- L0-2FC Iberia 199921 September 2026
- W1-0away to Meshakhte14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Spaeri9 September 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi4 September 2026
Dila
- W4-1away to Spaeri21 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Iberia 199917 September 2026
- D2-2Dinamo Batumi13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Samgurali9 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Rustavi had two goals or fewer.
- Rustavi failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Rustavi conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dila scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dila conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Dila had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 24 | +11 | 49 |
| 5 | Dila | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 33 | +6 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rustavi vs Dila
- 10 October 2026Rustavi 3–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
- 22 June 2026Dila 3–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 1 May 2026Rustavi 1–0 DilaErovnuli Liga
- 11 April 2026Dila 1–2 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 30 November 2019Rustavi 2–2 DilaErovnuli Liga
- 14 September 2019Dila 0–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.