Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Dinamo Batumi, 27% draw, 37% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Line-ups
- 13N. KalichavaG
- 29I. TuritsovD
- 23M. KobakhidzeD
- 24D. CarlsonD
- 5Y. KalleyD
- 39G. JaparidzeM
- 8S. AltunashviliM
- 22T. KirkitadzeF
- 18I. Oulad OmarM
- 20L. TsulukidzeM
- 9MauridesF
- 35R. ChiteishviliD
- 16A. EshetiyeM
- 19N. KalandarishviliD
- 1L. KupatadzeG
- 15E. MahmutovićD
- 7D. MandrîcencoM
- 6A. MylchenkoM
- 11Paulo VitorF
- 27L. ShengeliaF
- 20Lucas FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdićD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 13M. PourzitídisD
- 8WeltonM
- 23J. KankavaM
- 24B. OseiM
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 22N. NinuaM
- 10G. KharaishviliM
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 16N. TkaliaM
- 42Saba TartarashviliG
- 6Leonardo SantosD
- 3A. KalandadzeD
- 33L. HouriM
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 40mate gagvishviliG
- 14M. Do CoutoF
Form going into Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
- W3-2Torpedo Kutaisi20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dila13 September 2026
- W2-0FC Iberia 19999 September 2026
- W1-0away to Rustavi4 September 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
- W2-1away to FC Iberia 19994 October 2026
- W3-2away to Samgurali19 September 2026
- W4-0Gagra14 September 2026
- D0-0Meshakhte10 September 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Batumi went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 36 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 31 | +14 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
- 11 October 2026Dinamo Batumi 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 23 June 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 2 May 2026Dinamo Batumi 2–2 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 11 April 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–2 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 18 October 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 4 August 2025Dinamo Batumi 1–4 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: Dinamo Batumi and Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.