Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 2-0 Bucheon FC 1995.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Gangwon FC, 29% draw, 27% Bucheon FC 1995 — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 88Hwang Mun-KiD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 23M. TuciD
- 5K. MammarD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 77A. HalaihalF
- 33Hong ChulD
- 71Kang Seong-YunD
- 41K. SungG
- 8Lee Seung-WonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 1Kim Hyung-GeunG
- 6Jeong Ho-JinD
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 7ThiaguinhoM
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11Jefferson GalegoF
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 83Jo Seong-JoonF
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 93J. LeeD
- 9Park Jeong-InF
- 4S. Ye-GeonM
- 31Lee Sang-HyeonG
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
Gangwon FC
- D0-0Incheon United27 September 2026
- L0-1Jeju United FC20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC13 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
Bucheon FC 1995
- L0-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC19 September 2026
- D2-2Jeju United FC12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Incheon United8 September 2026
- L0-5Daejeon Citizen5 September 2026
What these results say
- Gangwon FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Gangwon FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Gangwon FC had two goals or fewer.
- Bucheon FC 1995 did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Bucheon FC 1995 had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 46 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
- 1 August 2026Gangwon FC 0–3 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
- 18 March 2026Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 5 November 2016Bucheon FC 1995 1–2 Gangwon FCK League 2
- 5 October 2016Gangwon FC 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
- 20 August 2016Gangwon FC 0–2 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
- 10 July 2016Bucheon FC 1995 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 2
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Halaihal40
- Mo Jae-Hyeon32
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.