Brann vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Brann 0-2 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Brann, 25% draw, 45% Viking — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viking at 45% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12S. NilsenG
- 23T. PedersenD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 21N. KasanwirjoD
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 16K. EriksenM
- 18J. SørensenM
- 19E. GuðmundssonM
- 22S. MagnússonF
- 29N. HolmF
- 15J. TorsvikF
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 11B. FinneF
- 7K. KjartanssonM
- 39J. LægreidF
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 25N. Jensen WassbergM
- 41Andreas WilhelmsenD
- 43B. HaugenM
- 1A. ØstbøG
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 6G. StensnessD
- 25H. FalchenerD
- 28K. HaugenD
- 16H. BjørdalM
- 8J. BellM
- 7K. AskildsenM
- 10Z. TripićM
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 22E. BotheimF
- 33J. HansenM
- 2H. HaugenD
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
- 29T. MoiM
- 11R. PostemaF
- 23N. FuglestadF
- 27J. DalandD
- 30Ľ. BelkoG
- 24Vetle AuklendD
Form going into Brann vs Viking
Brann
- W2-1Bodo/Glimt20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
Viking
- W3-0Lillestrom20 September 2026
- W8-1Kristiansund BK13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
What these results say
- Brann failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Brann conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Viking went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Viking scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Viking won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 29 |
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | +36 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Viking
- 18 April 2026Viking 3–2 BrannEliteserien
- 5 October 2025Viking 3–0 BrannEliteserien
- 13 July 2025Brann 3–1 VikingEliteserien
- 14 February 2025Brann 2–2 VikingFriendlies Clubs
- 1 December 2024Brann 1–1 VikingEliteserien
- 14 April 2024Viking 1–1 BrannEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Viking
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm63
- K. Ingason62
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen126
- S. Kvia-Egeskog82
- H. Heggheim63
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.