Fixtures & Predictions

Eliteserien predictions

16 matches ahead, from 17 October to 25 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Bodo/Glimt, 75% against Valerenga. 3 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt — model 18% / 20% / 62%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.56 · 5.00 · 1.61. One-sided: Bodo/Glimt
  • 14:00 UTC Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund — model 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 4.00 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:00 UTC Viking vs Fredrikstad — model 65% / 22% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 4.55 · 7.69. One-sided: Viking

Sunday 18 October — 5 matches

  • 12:30 UTC Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg — model 34% / 26% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.85 · 2.50. Edge: Rosenborg
  • 15:00 UTC Valerenga vs Brann — model 34% / 24% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 4.17 · 2.38. Edge: Brann
  • 15:00 UTC Molde vs Start — model 65% / 19% / 16%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.54 · 5.26 · 6.25. One-sided: Molde
  • 15:00 UTC Sandefjord vs Lillestrom — model 43% / 30% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.33 · 3.70. Evenly matched
  • 17:15 UTC Tromso vs KFUM Oslo — model 53% / 25% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.00 · 4.55. Edge: Tromso

Saturday 24 October — 2 matches

  • 14:00 UTC Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga — model 75% / 15% / 10%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.33 · 6.67 · 10.00. One-sided: Bodo/Glimt
  • 16:00 UTC Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg — model 28% / 24% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 4.17 · 2.08. Edge: Rosenborg

Sunday 25 October — 6 matches

  • 13:30 UTC Viking vs Tromso — model 62% / 21% / 17%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.61 · 4.76 · 5.88. One-sided: Viking
  • 16:00 UTC Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:00 UTC Lillestrom vs Brann — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
  • 16:00 UTC Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund — model 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.17 · 3.85. Evenly matched
  • 16:00 UTC Start vs Sandefjord — model 29% / 29% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.45 · 3.45 · 2.38. Edge: Sandefjord
  • 18:15 UTC Molde vs Fredrikstad — model 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.17. Edge: Molde

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–12 October: the model called the result of 3 of 8 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

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