Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund BK.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Bodo/Glimt, 14% draw, 8% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 78% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12N. HaikinG
- 20F. SjøvoldD
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 6J. GundersenD
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 8S. AuklendM
- 7P. BergM
- 19S. FetM
- 10J. HaugeM
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 17O. BrynhildsenF
- 2V. NielsenD
- 22J. MvukaM
- 25I. MäättäD
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 21A. HelmersenF
- 5H. AleesamiD
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 28Assan SanyangM
- 32K. SolhaugM
- 1M. LansingG
- 59M. ElviusD
- 4J. JúlíussonD
- 5D. UlvestadD
- 6J. IsaksenD
- 24G. ChristensenD
- 16D. TufekcicM
- 10H. BrusethM
- 23T. SvendsenM
- 20W. IgorM
- 19L. AlvheimF
- 17M. WilliamsenD
- 3F. FlexD
- 22H. HaugenD
- 8E. IsufiM
- 25J. KitolanoD
- 27A. RønningF
- 12A. SætherG
- 14S. SkeideM
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
- L1-2away to Brann20 September 2026
- W3-2Sandefjord14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
Kristiansund BK
- L1-3Rosenborg19 September 2026
- L1-8away to Viking13 September 2026
- W2-0Tromso6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Ham-Kam30 August 2026
What these results say
- Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Bodo/Glimt conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.
- Kristiansund BK scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kristiansund BK failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kristiansund BK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | +36 | 53 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
- 10 October 2026Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 6 April 2026Kristiansund BK 0–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 12 September 2025Bodo/Glimt 7–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 5 July 2025Kristiansund BK 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 29 September 2024Bodo/Glimt 4–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 12 May 2024Kristiansund BK 2–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
GoalsAssists
- A. Helmersen121
- K. Høgh74
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim110
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.