Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 AS Marsa.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, 26% draw, 25% AS Marsa — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 22O. Hanzouli
- 5S. Marouani
- 12M. Souissi
- 20S. Hammami
- 27B. Mgannem
- 30H. Kouki
- 8A. Jouini
- 19M. Ben Amor
- 6A. C. Chinonso
- 9B. Touati
- 11O. Belhaj
- 1W. Karoui
- 4K. Othmani
- 15A. Gharbi
- 25M. Jammel
- 10G. Ben Hamida
- 7S. Abdelli
- 17C. Zoughlami
- 28M. Askri
- 33H. Guezmir
- 16H. Ben Cherifia
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 6K. Khalfa
- 8A. Gasmi
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 2M. Chaouch
- 7F. Iffia
- 10M. Hamrouni
- 18N. Mani
- 1M. Ben Braiek
- 4A. Wadud
- 12Y. Boukhris
- 20F. Meskini
- 13A. Traidi
- 21O. Adejoh
- 24O. Mejri
- 25Y. Dao
- 30K. Maacha
Form going into Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- W1-0ES Metlaoui13 September 2026
- D1-1away to ES Sahel6 September 2026
- W3-1ES Tunis30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer22 August 2026
AS Marsa
- W1-0ES Sahel12 September 2026
- L1-2away to ES Tunis6 September 2026
- D0-0Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer29 August 2026
- L0-1away to CA Bizertin23 August 2026
What these results say
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane had two goals or fewer.
- AS Marsa failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for AS Marsa had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa
- 11 October 2026Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 AS MarsaLigue 1
- 12 May 2026Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2–2 AS MarsaLigue 1
- 22 November 2025AS Marsa 2–1 Jeunesse Sportive OmraneLigue 1