Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Olympic El Qanah 1-1 Al Masry.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Olympic El Qanah, 30% draw, 33% Al Masry — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Egyptian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olympic El Qanah at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16Mohamed ShaabanG
- 30Ossama FathyD
- 5Ibrahim SamyD
- 19Mohamed El ShebiniD
- 15Mohab SamyD
- 20H. IbrahimM
- 8Mahmoud BehiryM
- 18M. WayoM
- 33Mohamed SadekM
- 10M. HanyM
- 9Hazem Abou SenaF
- 27Ahmed AliM
- 7Hossam GreishaF
- 25Mostafa HamadaM
- 22Mohamed HassanF
- 24Mohamed DiabD
- 40Ibrahim El SayedF
- 13Mohamed HozianD
- 1Mostafa MahmoudG
- 6Momen RadyM
- 16Mahmoud HamdyG
- 7Karim El ErakiD
- 2B. El MohamadyD
- 29Mohamed HashemD
- 3Mohamed ShokryD
- 8Hassan AliM
- 6Mohamed MakhloufM
- 30A. DeghmoumM
- 32Hussein FaisalM
- 27A. ZianiM
- 25M. TemineF
- 14Mahmoud HamadaM
- 11Mohamed El ShamyF
- 17Youssef El GoharyM
- 15Ahmed El ArmoutyM
- 33Mostafa Al AashD
- 20K. ToualM
- 9Salah MohsenF
- 21A. SuliemanF
- 1Essam TharwatG
Form going into Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry
Olympic El Qanah
- L1-2away to Masr17 September 2026
- D1-1El Geish7 September 2026
- D0-0away to Wadi Degla1 September 2026
- D1-1El Gouna FC28 August 2026
Al Masry
- L0-2Al Ittihad Alexandria15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Petrojet7 September 2026
- L0-1Pyramids FC31 August 2026
- W3-2away to El Mokawloon27 August 2026
What these results say
- Olympic El Qanah did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Olympic El Qanah scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Olympic El Qanah conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al Masry conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al Masry failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry
- 11 October 2026Olympic El Qanah 1–1 Al MasryPremier League
- 13 May 2014Al Masry 0–0 Olympic El QanahPremier League
- 19 February 2014Olympic El Qanah 1–1 Al MasryPremier League
Leading scorers: Olympic El Qanah and Al Masry
Olympic El Qanah
GoalsAssists
- M. Wayo30
Al Masry
GoalsAssists
- Salah Mohsen20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.